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Marinha Grande · report

Past price cycles in Marinha Grande

Bank valuations have fallen by 3% or more 10 times since 2014. The deepest began in February 2015.

Deepest fall
−14.6%
Recovery from the low
12 months

Prices in Marinha Grande and Portugal, indexed

Bank valuations, both set to 100 in December 2014.

  • Marinha Grande
  • Portugal
  • 100 = December 2014
Show the numbers
PeriodMarinha GrandePortugal
Sep 2026268.6303.3
Aug 2026262.5300.1
Jul 2026253.2298.3
Jun 2026252.0296.7
May 2026245.4294.0
Apr 2026250.8289.5
Mar 2026242.7286.4
Feb 2026250.2282.6
Jan 2026234.5280.3
Dec 2025235.1277.1
Nov 2025224.7274.3
Oct 2025220.3269.6
Sep 2025207.1265.6
Aug 2025201.0261.7
Jul 2025206.6259.0
Jun 2025209.1254.5
May 2025207.4251.1
Apr 2025202.5248.5
Mar 2025197.8245.9
Feb 2025197.3241.0
Jan 2025193.4236.2
Dec 2024193.1232.6
Nov 2024189.9231.7
Oct 2024181.4229.2
Sep 2024180.2225.7
Aug 2024179.9221.6
Jul 2024184.5218.1
Jun 2024185.6215.4
May 2024182.4214.4
Apr 2024178.9212.5
Mar 2024171.8210.4
Feb 2024169.8207.7
Jan 2024165.4206.4
Dec 2023162.5204.5
Nov 2023160.6203.7
Oct 2023162.5204.5
Sep 2023167.6205.2
Aug 2023169.1204.8
Jul 2023160.0203.1
Jun 2023156.9202.1
May 2023157.8201.1
Apr 2023159.8198.5
Mar 2023159.8197.5
Feb 2023152.0196.8
Jan 2023157.4197.7
Dec 2022155.6194.1
Nov 2022155.7192.9
Oct 2022149.0189.1
Sep 2022147.0190.3
Aug 2022147.5188.3
Jul 2022147.0188.7
Jun 2022151.0187.4
May 2022145.9183.8
Apr 2022144.3180.6
Mar 2022136.0177.2
Feb 2022134.1175.0
Jan 2022135.0172.0
Dec 2021136.3171.1
Nov 2021137.7169.4
Oct 2021139.5166.6
Sep 2021136.7164.6
Aug 2021137.0162.6
Jul 2021126.7162.6
Jun 2021129.6161.8
May 2021130.2161.4
Apr 2021137.2159.8
Mar 2021127.5158.1
Feb 2021125.3156.3
Jan 2021126.7155.8
Dec 2020127.2153.9
Nov 2020126.2152.3
Oct 2020126.2150.6
Sep 2020128.9150.2
Aug 2020130.7150.2
Jul 2020131.3150.1
Jun 2020127.4149.0
May 2020125.5148.3
Apr 2020122.8147.9
Mar 2020124.0147.8
Feb 2020122.5147.9
Jan 2020124.7146.9
Dec 2019124.8145.3
Nov 2019128.0143.3
Oct 2019129.9142.3
Sep 2019132.1141.9
Aug 2019127.4140.3
Jul 2019129.6139.0
Jun 2019125.0137.2
May 2019123.1136.2
Apr 2019121.6135.2
Mar 2019117.6134.0
Feb 2019115.0133.2
Jan 2019115.4130.9
Dec 2018115.5130.1
Nov 2018116.0128.9
Oct 2018113.9128.8
Sep 2018114.5127.7
Aug 2018113.9126.6
Jul 2018113.9125.3
Jun 2018110.0124.1
May 2018110.3123.7
Apr 2018105.6123.0
Mar 2018106.8122.5
Feb 2018101.5121.3
Jan 2018102.0120.1
Dec 2017105.2118.6
Nov 2017112.0118.4
Oct 2017114.4118.0
Sep 2017113.9117.3
Aug 2017113.5115.6
Jul 2017104.6114.6
Jun 2017102.5114.5
May 2017100.2114.1
Apr 2017101.4113.7
Mar 2017101.5113.0
Feb 2017104.6112.8
Jan 2017105.2112.0
Dec 2016103.7110.9
Nov 2016105.4110.0
Oct 2016103.7109.2
Sep 2016100.0108.7
Aug 201699.7108.4
Jul 201699.0107.3
Jun 201692.9106.9
May 201691.7106.5
Apr 201690.5105.7
Mar 201692.9104.9
Feb 201696.1104.5
Jan 201697.1104.5
Dec 201596.5104.9
Nov 201593.4104.3
Oct 201586.0103.9
Sep 201586.8103.5
Aug 201593.4103.1
Jul 201596.1103.3
Jun 201597.5102.4
May 201593.4102.3
Apr 201591.2101.2
Mar 201588.3100.7
Feb 2015100.7100.7
Jan 2015100.7100.7
Dec 2014100.0100.0

Every fall of 3% or more

From the peak to the lowest month after it, and how long prices took to get back.

PeakLowFallMonths fallingMonths to recover
February 2015October 2015−14.6%812
November 2016May 2017−5.0%63
October 2017February 2018−11.2%47
September 2019February 2020−7.3%514
April 2021July 2021−7.6%33
October 2021February 2022−3.9%42
January 2023February 2023−3.4%11
August 2023November 2023−5.0%33
June 2024August 2024−3.1%23
June 2025August 2025−3.9%22

Portugal against the EU since 2015

Eurostat's house price index for all dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, comparable across member states.

  • Portugal
  • EU
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugalEU
Q2 2026301.4168.6
Q1 2026291.0166.5
Q4 2025280.2164.6
Q3 2025269.4163.5
Q2 2025258.8161.0
Q1 2025247.1158.5
Q4 2024235.7156.2
Q3 2024228.9155.1
Q2 2024220.7152.7
Q1 2024212.5149.8
Q4 2023211.3148.9
Q3 2023208.5149.1
Q2 2023204.7148.2
Q1 2023198.6147.6
Q4 2022195.9148.7
Q3 2022193.8150.9
Q2 2022188.3149.6
Q1 2022182.6146.2
Q4 2021176.0143.2
Q3 2021171.3140.2
Q2 2021166.4136.0
Q1 2021161.7132.1
Q4 2020157.7129.8
Q3 2020153.6128.1
Q2 2020154.3126.3
Q1 2020151.7124.4
Q4 2019146.1122.7
Q3 2019143.7121.5
Q2 2019140.7119.8
Q1 2019137.1117.6
Q4 2018132.3116.8
Q3 2018129.7115.9
Q2 2018128.5114.2
Q1 2018125.6112.3
Q4 2017121.1111.2
Q3 2017119.6110.4
Q2 2017115.5108.8
Q1 2017111.9106.9
Q4 2016109.6106.1
Q3 2016108.3105.4
Q2 2016106.9103.8
Q1 2016103.7102.0
Q4 2015101.8101.1
Q3 2015100.7100.8
Q2 2015100.699.8
Q1 201596.998.3

Bank valuations go back to 2011, so they include the fall after the euro crisis; asking prices start in 2015. A fall counts once prices drop 3% below a peak, and ends when they are back at it.

Other reports for Marinha Grande

Next 12 months

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €1,848/m² and €2,169/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€2,009/m²
Chance of a rise
99%

Affordability

At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €143,100. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €543 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
21%
Payment, one income
41%

Buy or rent

Owning a 90 m² home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€580
Owning per month
€483

Asking against valuation

Sellers ask 7.2% more than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +19.2%.

Gap today
+7.2%
Change in a year
−12.0 pp

New homes

27.7% fewer homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
35
Per 1,000 residents
0.8

Foreign buyers

Figures for Região de Leiria: Marinha Grande has no reliable figures of its own.

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 12.9% less per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
−12.9%

People and new homes

In 2025 the population grew by 18 while 74 homes were finished: 0.2 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
0.2
Population change, 2025
+18

Empty homes

13.9% of the 22,012 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
13.9%
Empty homes
3,058

Renovation

In 2025, 9% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
9%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
0.0

Public housing works

Public bodies signed €3.6M of housing works here in 2025, and €5M since 2012.

Signed in 2025
€3.6M
Per resident, 2025
€79

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

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