South-West · report
House prices in South-West: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between €379,628 and €496,925 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- €438,277
- Chance of a rise
- 78%
South-West: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, €, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- South-West
- Ireland
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | South-West | Ireland |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | €438,277 (€379,628–€496,925) | €497,157 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | €435,380 (€379,333–€491,426) | €493,727 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | €432,483 (€379,145–€485,821) | €490,298 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | €429,586 (€379,080–€480,092) | €486,869 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | €426,689 (€379,162–€474,217) | €483,439 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | €423,793 (€379,419–€468,166) | €480,010 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | €420,896 (€379,892–€461,900) | €476,580 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | €417,999 (€380,639–€455,359) | €473,151 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | €415,102 (€381,751–€448,454) | €469,722 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | €412,205 (€383,378–€441,033) | €466,292 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | €409,309 (€385,816–€432,801) | €462,863 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | €406,412 (€389,833–€422,991) | €459,433 |
| Aug 2026 | €403,515 | €456,004 |
| Jul 2026 | €419,183 | €455,412 |
| Jun 2026 | €402,060 | €449,323 |
| May 2026 | €395,326 | €442,262 |
| Apr 2026 | €393,475 | €435,891 |
| Mar 2026 | €393,960 | €436,439 |
| Feb 2026 | €387,179 | €435,083 |
| Jan 2026 | €388,580 | €438,555 |
| Dec 2025 | €397,857 | €444,258 |
| Nov 2025 | €379,438 | €432,238 |
| Oct 2025 | €396,455 | €439,280 |
| Sep 2025 | €404,309 | €437,576 |
| Aug 2025 | €384,445 | €433,644 |
| Jul 2025 | €372,836 | €437,559 |
| Jun 2025 | €385,490 | €423,561 |
| May 2025 | €369,804 | €423,284 |
| Apr 2025 | €359,827 | €425,616 |
| Mar 2025 | €374,184 | €417,681 |
| Feb 2025 | €368,637 | €418,067 |
| Jan 2025 | €375,224 | €425,576 |
| Dec 2024 | €365,138 | €420,656 |
| Nov 2024 | €381,170 | €421,735 |
| Oct 2024 | €362,747 | €429,212 |
| Sep 2024 | €356,657 | €402,517 |
| Aug 2024 | €345,395 | €419,893 |
| Jul 2024 | €350,200 | €409,645 |
| Jun 2024 | €348,200 | €388,194 |
| May 2024 | €337,705 | €381,640 |
| Apr 2024 | €321,869 | €378,716 |
| Mar 2024 | €331,129 | €385,990 |
| Feb 2024 | €336,038 | €373,287 |
| Jan 2024 | €340,143 | €386,853 |
| Dec 2023 | €335,801 | €389,628 |
| Nov 2023 | €330,061 | €388,817 |
| Oct 2023 | €334,246 | €382,510 |
| Sep 2023 | €326,279 | €381,716 |
| Aug 2023 | €336,145 | €373,170 |
| Jul 2023 | €323,091 | €378,082 |
| Jun 2023 | €339,847 | €369,218 |
| May 2023 | €320,225 | €362,696 |
| Apr 2023 | €329,522 | €362,477 |
| Mar 2023 | €308,673 | €365,619 |
| Feb 2023 | €315,778 | €372,578 |
| Jan 2023 | €311,524 | €353,502 |
| Dec 2022 | €331,638 | €375,219 |
| Nov 2022 | €328,272 | €364,367 |
| Oct 2022 | €321,862 | €362,657 |
| Sep 2022 | €312,440 | €367,280 |
| Aug 2022 | €312,863 | €377,449 |
| Jul 2022 | €307,965 | €363,973 |
| Jun 2022 | €294,040 | €355,231 |
| May 2022 | €300,558 | €343,086 |
| Apr 2022 | €297,231 | €333,225 |
| Mar 2022 | €306,897 | €344,102 |
| Feb 2022 | €305,926 | €338,005 |
| Jan 2022 | €283,696 | €338,896 |
| Dec 2021 | €299,780 | €340,727 |
| Nov 2021 | €287,870 | €340,913 |
| Oct 2021 | €289,920 | €337,575 |
| Sep 2021 | €295,257 | €337,992 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | €412,205 | €383,378 – €441,033 | 65% | 59% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | €415,102 | €381,751 – €448,454 | 67% | 60% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | €438,277 | €379,628 – €496,925 | 78% | 66% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for South-West
Figures for Ireland: South-West has no reliable figures of its own.
At the average sale price, a home costs €403,515. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €1,621 a month. Ireland sets no cap on the payment; the Central Bank limits most mortgages to four times gross income for first-time buyers and 3.5 times for others.
- Payment, two incomes
- 19%
- Payment, one income
- 38%
57.0% more homes were granted planning permission in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Permitted, 12 months
- 8,279
- Per 1,000 residents
- 10.4
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more once since 2010. That fall began in January 2010.
- Deepest fall
- −37.6%
- Recovery from the low
- 50 months
13.2% of the 318,247 homes counted in the 2022 census were unoccupied: vacant, or holiday homes.
- Empty, 2022 census
- 13.2%
- Empty homes
- 41,882
In 2025, 60% of the planning permissions granted for homes were for extensions, alterations or conversions of existing ones.
- Work on existing homes, 2025
- 60%
Public bodies signed €42.4M of housing works here in 2025, and €201.9M since 2017.
- Signed in 2025
- €42.4M
- Per resident, 2025
- €54