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Ireland · report

House prices in Ireland: the next 12 months

Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between €452,409 and €541,904 by August 2027.

Expected, August 2027
€497,157
Chance of a rise
88%

Ireland: five years of prices and the expected path

Average sale price per home, €, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path

  • Ireland
  • Expected path
  • 80% range
Show the numbers
PeriodIreland
Aug 2027 · Expected path€497,157 (€452,409–€541,904)
Jul 2027 · Expected path€493,727 (€451,060–€536,394)
Jun 2027 · Expected path€490,298 (€449,785–€530,811)
May 2027 · Expected path€486,869 (€448,595–€525,142)
Apr 2027 · Expected path€483,439 (€447,506–€519,372)
Mar 2027 · Expected path€480,010 (€446,540–€513,480)
Feb 2027 · Expected path€476,580 (€445,726–€507,435)
Jan 2027 · Expected path€473,151 (€445,106–€501,196)
Dec 2026 · Expected path€469,722 (€444,747–€494,696)
Nov 2026 · Expected path€466,292 (€444,758–€487,826)
Oct 2026 · Expected path€462,863 (€445,358–€480,367)
Sep 2026 · Expected path€459,433 (€447,111–€471,756)
Aug 2026€456,004
Jul 2026€455,412
Jun 2026€449,323
May 2026€442,262
Apr 2026€435,891
Mar 2026€436,439
Feb 2026€435,083
Jan 2026€438,555
Dec 2025€444,258
Nov 2025€432,238
Oct 2025€439,280
Sep 2025€437,576
Aug 2025€433,644
Jul 2025€437,559
Jun 2025€423,561
May 2025€423,284
Apr 2025€425,616
Mar 2025€417,681
Feb 2025€418,067
Jan 2025€425,576
Dec 2024€420,656
Nov 2024€421,735
Oct 2024€429,212
Sep 2024€402,517
Aug 2024€419,893
Jul 2024€409,645
Jun 2024€388,194
May 2024€381,640
Apr 2024€378,716
Mar 2024€385,990
Feb 2024€373,287
Jan 2024€386,853
Dec 2023€389,628
Nov 2023€388,817
Oct 2023€382,510
Sep 2023€381,716
Aug 2023€373,170
Jul 2023€378,082
Jun 2023€369,218
May 2023€362,696
Apr 2023€362,477
Mar 2023€365,619
Feb 2023€372,578
Jan 2023€353,502
Dec 2022€375,219
Nov 2022€364,367
Oct 2022€362,657
Sep 2022€367,280
Aug 2022€377,449
Jul 2022€363,973
Jun 2022€355,231
May 2022€343,086
Apr 2022€333,225
Mar 2022€344,102
Feb 2022€338,005
Jan 2022€338,896
Dec 2021€340,727
Nov 2021€340,913
Oct 2021€337,575
Sep 2021€337,992

What the model expects

The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.

HorizonExpected80% rangeChance of a riseChance of beating inflation
In 3 months (November 2026)€466,292€444,758 – €487,82673%64%
In 4 months (December 2026)€469,722€444,747 – €494,69676%66%
In 12 months (August 2027)€497,157€452,409 – €541,90488%75%

The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.

Other reports for Ireland

At the average sale price, a home costs €456,004. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €1,831 a month. Ireland sets no cap on the payment; the Central Bank limits most mortgages to four times gross income for first-time buyers and 3.5 times for others.

Payment, two incomes
21%
Payment, one income
42%

17.2% more homes were granted planning permission in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Permitted, 12 months
39,354
Per 1,000 residents
7.1

Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more once since 2005. That fall began in April 2007.

Deepest fall
−55.1%
Recovery from the low
112 months

In 2025 the population grew by 78,300 while 36,215 homes were finished: 2.2 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
2.2
Population change, 2025
+78,300

10.9% of the 2,112,121 homes counted in the 2022 census were unoccupied: vacant, or holiday homes.

Empty, 2022 census
10.9%
Empty homes
230,389

In 2025, 63% of the planning permissions granted for homes were for extensions, alterations or conversions of existing ones.

Work on existing homes, 2025
63%

Public bodies signed €1.2B of housing works here in 2025, and €6.5B since 2017.

Signed in 2025
€1.2B
Per resident, 2025
€217