Winchester · report
House prices in Winchester: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £412,592 and £474,002 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £443,297
- Chance of a rise
- 34%
Winchester: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- Winchester
- South East
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | Winchester | South East | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £443,297 (£412,592–£474,002) | £383,466 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £444,121 (£414,977–£473,265) | £383,173 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £444,945 (£417,401–£472,489) | £382,880 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £445,770 (£419,872–£471,667) | £382,588 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £446,594 (£422,400–£470,788) | £382,295 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £447,418 (£424,996–£469,840) | £382,002 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £448,242 (£427,680–£468,805) | £381,709 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £449,067 (£430,476–£467,657) | £381,417 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £449,891 (£433,426–£466,356) | £381,124 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £450,715 (£436,599–£464,831) | £380,831 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £451,539 (£440,131–£462,948) | £380,538 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £452,364 (£444,381–£460,346) | £380,246 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £453,188 | £379,953 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £464,492 | £380,375 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £470,740 | £378,890 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £477,341 | £381,519 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £470,517 | £379,342 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £467,419 | £378,202 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £459,906 | £378,018 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £461,832 | £379,593 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £460,420 | £374,984 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £459,188 | £379,283 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £452,388 | £382,074 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £456,968 | £379,765 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £452,789 | £383,045 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £453,506 | £380,195 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £450,396 | £379,262 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £462,099 | £376,656 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £467,170 | £375,519 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £467,189 | £381,452 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £466,582 | £380,137 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £466,893 | £381,267 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £476,677 | £378,958 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £479,481 | £377,413 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £484,842 | £381,155 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £476,434 | £380,519 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £474,949 | £381,897 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £467,370 | £377,066 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £476,030 | £373,083 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £478,821 | £372,808 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £478,495 | £369,214 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £470,088 | £366,875 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £467,621 | £367,789 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £472,199 | £369,326 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £473,639 | £367,572 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £469,339 | £375,344 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £468,420 | £377,965 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £473,126 | £379,338 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £471,847 | £381,601 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £477,940 | £381,968 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £472,933 | £377,848 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £485,274 | £377,989 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £482,595 | £379,543 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £485,589 | £380,362 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £484,236 | £383,401 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £480,156 | £387,727 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £485,412 | £388,158 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £482,135 | £389,960 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £493,282 | £391,862 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £492,231 | £391,553 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £493,584 | £390,701 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £482,642 | £387,054 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £475,978 | £380,603 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £465,861 | £376,100 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £463,883 | £370,658 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £462,607 | £369,755 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £461,502 | £367,655 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £461,594 | £368,184 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £445,031 | £362,713 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £446,025 | £360,386 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £438,961 | £354,140 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £444,485 | £361,613 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £450,715 | £436,599 – £464,831 | 41% | 28% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £449,891 | £433,426 – £466,356 | 40% | 25% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £443,297 | £412,592 – £474,002 | 34% | 14% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for Winchester
At the average sale price, a home costs £453,188. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £2,091 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 27%
- Payment, one income
- 55%
Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £1,514
- Owning per month
- £2,134
47.3% fewer homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 370
- Per 1,000 residents
- 2.7
Figures for United Kingdom: Winchester has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 14 times since 1995. The deepest began in November 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −26.4%
- Recovery from the low
- 60 months
In 2025 the population grew by 1,377 while 970 homes were finished: 1.4 new residents for every new home.
- New residents per new home, 2025
- 1.4
- Population change, 2025
- +1,377
4.6% of the 54,459 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 4.6%
- Empty homes
- 2,510
In 2025, 3% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.
- Homes from existing buildings, 2025
- 3%