Southwark · report
House prices in Southwark: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £519,214 and £600,685 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £559,950
- Chance of a rise
- 39%
Southwark: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- Southwark
- London
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | Southwark | London | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £559,950 (£519,214–£600,685) | £566,944 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £560,717 (£522,017–£599,417) | £565,901 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £561,485 (£524,875–£598,094) | £564,858 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £562,252 (£527,798–£596,706) | £563,816 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £563,020 (£530,799–£595,240) | £562,773 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £563,787 (£533,896–£593,679) | £561,730 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £564,555 (£537,113–£591,997) | £560,687 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £565,322 (£540,484–£590,160) | £559,644 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £566,090 (£544,067–£588,113) | £558,601 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £566,857 (£547,953–£585,762) | £557,559 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £567,625 (£552,328–£582,922) | £556,516 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £568,392 (£557,675–£579,110) | £555,473 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £569,160 | £554,430 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £574,955 | £550,340 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £588,057 | £551,440 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £582,116 | £549,535 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £579,961 | £554,363 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £569,936 | £546,111 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £576,114 | £546,681 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £582,025 | £553,643 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £590,455 | £550,040 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £594,533 | £560,709 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £597,237 | £557,572 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £592,390 | £565,498 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £581,507 | £567,115 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £572,058 | £568,795 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £570,102 | £568,050 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £573,553 | £565,507 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £579,489 | £564,530 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £583,617 | £553,812 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £581,929 | £561,072 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £581,925 | £563,861 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £580,377 | £556,882 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £584,022 | £559,925 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £585,060 | £560,909 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £583,095 | £566,882 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £591,428 | £567,121 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £590,060 | £557,831 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £583,664 | £556,853 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £564,487 | £553,592 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £562,893 | £548,467 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £566,750 | £547,437 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £566,759 | £546,247 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £563,292 | £551,097 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £565,336 | £549,112 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £589,727 | £547,757 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £592,671 | £555,122 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £590,827 | £565,702 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £577,988 | £560,630 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £580,813 | £559,703 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £576,499 | £556,107 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £566,669 | £554,900 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £556,404 | £557,147 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £571,584 | £555,361 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £582,206 | £563,875 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £595,197 | £570,869 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £586,868 | £572,384 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £589,751 | £575,480 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £590,680 | £573,946 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £597,779 | £579,330 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £595,787 | £581,320 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £589,778 | £575,261 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £579,803 | £572,418 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £568,585 | £554,380 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £567,428 | £554,765 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £569,952 | £550,480 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £575,211 | £551,066 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £574,271 | £550,635 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £558,544 | £547,837 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £559,555 | £547,647 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £551,342 | £539,606 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £539,751 | £541,876 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £566,857 | £547,953 – £585,762 | 44% | 31% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £566,090 | £544,067 – £588,113 | 43% | 29% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £559,950 | £519,214 – £600,685 | 39% | 18% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for Southwark
At the average sale price, a home costs £569,160. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £2,626 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 32%
- Payment, one income
- 65%
Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £2,516
- Owning per month
- £2,680
24.0% more homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 860
- Per 1,000 residents
- 2.8
Figures for United Kingdom: Southwark has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 12 times since 1995. The deepest began in December 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −18.2%
- Recovery from the low
- 21 months
In 2025 the population fell by 4,666 while 960 homes were finished.
- Homes finished, 2025
- 960
- Population change, 2025
- −4,666
7.3% of the 141,962 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 7.3%
- Empty homes
- 10,370
In 2025, 16% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.
- Homes from existing buildings, 2025
- 16%