North West · report
House prices in North West: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £210,216 and £248,447 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £229,332
- Chance of a rise
- 73%
North West: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- North West
- England
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | North West | England | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £229,332 (£210,216–£248,447) | £298,140 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £228,587 (£210,381–£246,792) | £297,755 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £227,842 (£210,576–£245,108) | £297,371 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £227,097 (£210,805–£243,389) | £296,986 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £226,352 (£211,075–£241,629) | £296,602 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £225,607 (£211,395–£239,819) | £296,217 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £224,862 (£211,778–£237,947) | £295,832 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £224,117 (£212,240–£235,995) | £295,448 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £223,373 (£212,809–£233,936) | £295,063 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £222,628 (£213,532–£231,723) | £294,679 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £221,883 (£214,499–£229,266) | £294,294 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £221,138 (£215,948–£226,328) | £293,910 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £220,393 | £293,525 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £220,420 | £292,882 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £219,258 | £291,674 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £219,184 | £292,907 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £216,706 | £292,164 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £215,750 | £290,133 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £216,160 | £291,263 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £215,288 | £290,474 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £215,540 | £289,280 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £217,453 | £291,892 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £214,098 | £290,975 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £213,696 | £290,689 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £215,583 | £292,319 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £212,124 | £290,212 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £210,074 | £288,115 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £207,564 | £285,526 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £201,694 | £280,500 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £216,425 | £291,748 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £209,139 | £287,794 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £207,957 | £287,264 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £207,967 | £287,035 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £208,283 | £286,814 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £207,841 | £287,595 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £207,922 | £287,576 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £207,404 | £287,343 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £203,585 | £284,105 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £201,998 | £281,611 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £202,747 | £280,824 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £198,529 | £277,945 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £198,378 | £276,971 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £196,304 | £276,935 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £196,802 | £278,060 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £200,245 | £278,664 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £199,536 | £281,026 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £200,939 | £283,147 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £200,657 | £284,428 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £200,408 | £285,690 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £199,014 | £284,246 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £197,880 | £281,585 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £196,419 | £279,846 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £194,385 | £280,054 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £194,453 | £279,592 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £196,497 | £283,907 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £197,527 | £285,817 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £200,795 | £288,198 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £202,872 | £290,003 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £202,008 | £289,993 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £202,921 | £290,185 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £200,868 | £289,294 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £199,323 | £286,526 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £194,417 | £281,116 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £192,942 | £278,084 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £191,021 | £274,812 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £187,958 | £272,225 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £187,066 | £271,265 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £186,704 | £270,231 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £185,573 | £267,793 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £182,712 | £265,662 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £177,157 | £259,748 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £187,266 | £268,041 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £222,628 | £213,532 – £231,723 | 62% | 52% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £223,373 | £212,809 – £233,936 | 64% | 52% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £229,332 | £210,216 – £248,447 | 73% | 53% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for North West
At the average sale price, a home costs £220,393. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £1,017 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 16%
- Payment, one income
- 33%
Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £975
- Owning per month
- £1,038
8.9% fewer homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 16,580
- Per 1,000 residents
- 2.1
Figures for United Kingdom: North West has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 5 times since 1995. The deepest began in December 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −18.3%
- Recovery from the low
- 52 months
In 2025 the population grew by 56,470 while 15,670 homes were finished: 3.6 new residents for every new home.
- New residents per new home, 2025
- 3.6
- Population change, 2025
- +56,470
5.7% of the 3,358,812 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 5.7%
- Empty homes
- 190,965
In 2025, 6% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.
- Homes from existing buildings, 2025
- 6%