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North Warwickshire · report

House prices in North Warwickshire: the next 12 months

Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £262,054 and £299,180 by August 2027.

Expected, August 2027
£280,617
Chance of a rise
80%

North Warwickshire: five years of prices and the expected path

Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path

  • North Warwickshire
  • West Midlands
  • United Kingdom
  • Expected path
  • 80% range
Show the numbers
PeriodNorth WarwickshireWest MidlandsUnited Kingdom
Aug 2027 · Expected path£280,617 (£262,054–£299,180)£253,114£280,154
Jul 2027 · Expected path£279,594 (£261,968–£297,220)£252,915£279,560
Jun 2027 · Expected path£278,571 (£261,906–£295,235)£252,716£278,967
May 2027 · Expected path£277,547 (£261,874–£293,221)£252,518£278,374
Apr 2027 · Expected path£276,524 (£261,875–£291,173)£252,319£277,781
Mar 2027 · Expected path£275,501 (£261,919–£289,082)£252,121£277,188
Feb 2027 · Expected path£274,477 (£262,017–£286,938)£251,922£276,595
Jan 2027 · Expected path£273,454 (£262,183–£284,724)£251,724£276,002
Dec 2026 · Expected path£272,430 (£262,444–£282,417)£251,525£275,409
Nov 2026 · Expected path£271,407 (£262,841–£279,973)£251,327£274,816
Oct 2026 · Expected path£270,384 (£263,458–£277,310)£251,128£274,223
Sep 2026 · Expected path£269,360 (£264,511–£274,209)£250,930£273,630
Aug 2026£268,337£250,731£273,037
Jul 2026£271,934£250,175£272,146
Jun 2026£271,068£249,325£270,690
May 2026£272,063£248,861£272,221
Apr 2026£268,660£250,664£270,966
Mar 2026£261,655£246,919£268,631
Feb 2026£261,470£250,140£269,423
Jan 2026£266,809£247,199£268,814
Dec 2025£270,278£245,747£268,002
Nov 2025£268,591£247,711£270,472
Oct 2025£263,351£248,716£269,819
Sep 2025£262,490£248,129£269,556
Aug 2025£261,715£247,879£270,575
Jul 2025£258,612£247,117£268,843
Jun 2025£263,394£244,557£266,796
May 2025£261,241£241,287£264,078
Apr 2025£266,169£236,991£260,162
Mar 2025£259,657£246,603£268,019
Feb 2025£266,051£244,610£264,771
Jan 2025£266,211£241,526£264,936
Dec 2024£267,064£241,278£263,991
Nov 2024£263,821£243,459£264,515
Oct 2024£266,138£241,362£265,252
Sep 2024£266,231£242,607£264,750
Aug 2024£264,017£241,068£265,085
Jul 2024£259,701£239,774£262,479
Jun 2024£254,067£238,654£259,585
May 2024£253,511£236,114£258,565
Apr 2024£255,141£233,571£256,478
Mar 2024£253,929£231,972£255,082
Feb 2024£253,070£232,662£254,633
Jan 2024£256,640£232,200£255,972
Dec 2023£264,650£234,452£256,177
Nov 2023£268,240£235,472£258,368
Oct 2023£264,352£236,787£260,129
Sep 2023£263,227£239,026£261,318
Aug 2023£264,836£238,205£262,602
Jul 2023£263,558£237,687£261,182
Jun 2023£259,796£235,260£258,275
May 2023£257,288£233,888£257,330
Apr 2023£262,468£231,640£256,479
Mar 2023£266,928£230,851£255,885
Feb 2023£268,525£238,586£258,788
Jan 2023£264,517£237,934£260,941
Dec 2022£263,830£239,619£263,190
Nov 2022£265,462£239,630£265,299
Oct 2022£261,288£241,762£265,693
Sep 2022£261,485£240,079£265,727
Aug 2022£253,795£238,546£265,124
Jul 2022£256,826£237,741£262,904
Jun 2022£261,723£231,031£258,118
May 2022£259,995£229,576£255,040
Apr 2022£258,022£226,561£252,167
Mar 2022£248,727£225,611£249,232
Feb 2022£247,406£223,616£248,309
Jan 2022£241,730£221,008£248,031
Dec 2021£237,261£220,926£245,189
Nov 2021£239,157£217,691£243,930
Oct 2021£240,148£212,178£239,236
Sep 2021£240,385£219,567£245,371

What the model expects

The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.

HorizonExpected80% rangeChance of a riseChance of beating inflation
In 3 months (November 2026)£271,407£262,841 – £279,97368%54%
In 4 months (December 2026)£272,430£262,444 – £282,41770%55%
In 12 months (August 2027)£280,617£262,054 – £299,18080%58%

The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.

Other reports for North Warwickshire

At the average sale price, a home costs £268,337. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £1,238 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.

Payment, two incomes
19%
Payment, one income
37%

Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
£983
Owning per month
£1,263

54.4% more homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Started, 12 months
230
Per 1,000 residents
3.4

Figures for United Kingdom: North Warwickshire has no reliable figures of its own.

Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.

Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
1.8%

Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 13 times since 1995. The deepest began in August 2007.

Deepest fall
−21.7%
Recovery from the low
80 months

In 2025 the population grew by 647 while 220 homes were finished: 2.9 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
2.9
Population change, 2025
+647

4.8% of the 29,027 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.

Empty, 2021 census
4.8%
Empty homes
1,390

In 2025, 3% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.

Homes from existing buildings, 2025
3%