Monmouthshire · report
House prices in Monmouthshire: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £303,716 and £349,416 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £326,566
- Chance of a rise
- 45%
Monmouthshire: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- Monmouthshire
- Wales
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | Monmouthshire | Wales | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £326,566 (£303,716–£349,416) | £224,653 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £326,763 (£305,065–£348,461) | £223,962 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £326,961 (£306,445–£347,477) | £223,271 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £327,158 (£307,861–£346,456) | £222,581 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £327,356 (£309,319–£345,393) | £221,890 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £327,554 (£310,830–£344,278) | £221,199 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £327,751 (£312,406–£343,097) | £220,508 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £327,949 (£314,068–£341,830) | £219,817 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £328,147 (£315,846–£340,447) | £219,126 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £328,344 (£317,792–£338,896) | £218,436 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £328,542 (£320,009–£337,074) | £217,745 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £328,739 (£322,765–£334,714) | £217,054 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £328,937 | £216,363 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £333,389 | £214,167 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £333,028 | £212,315 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £326,890 | £215,787 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £323,037 | £213,662 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £321,302 | £214,009 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £332,046 | £212,147 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £330,560 | £210,347 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £334,506 | £212,902 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £332,400 | £210,567 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £333,816 | £211,527 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £326,337 | £211,004 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £325,856 | £209,851 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £325,864 | £209,546 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £334,332 | £209,486 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £331,096 | £206,642 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £331,488 | £205,275 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £324,847 | £207,151 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £324,114 | £205,266 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £328,242 | £206,010 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £327,977 | £204,641 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £325,442 | £207,435 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £320,183 | £207,454 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £325,463 | £203,822 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £329,043 | £207,156 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £330,757 | £204,982 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £324,407 | £204,368 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £316,890 | £199,330 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £315,286 | £199,545 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £311,415 | £200,795 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £317,131 | £199,272 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £316,713 | £197,808 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £323,159 | £202,077 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £327,297 | £201,778 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £328,304 | £202,477 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £327,138 | £204,460 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £321,712 | £203,852 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £316,664 | £202,620 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £308,326 | £200,183 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £310,802 | £199,616 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £316,052 | £195,717 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £321,255 | £199,167 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £323,007 | £200,870 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £322,656 | £201,853 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £322,937 | £206,563 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £321,058 | £205,941 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £323,180 | £208,209 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £325,542 | £207,696 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £320,342 | £204,218 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £313,698 | £203,313 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £307,216 | £200,277 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £311,397 | £196,682 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £307,740 | £195,875 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £306,170 | £191,471 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £298,783 | £189,656 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £294,548 | £191,552 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £291,794 | £189,741 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £292,309 | £186,520 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £294,239 | £186,951 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £290,748 | £185,561 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £328,344 | £317,792 – £338,896 | 47% | 34% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £328,147 | £315,846 – £340,447 | 47% | 32% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £326,566 | £303,716 – £349,416 | 45% | 22% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for Monmouthshire
At the average sale price, a home costs £328,937. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £1,518 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 22%
- Payment, one income
- 44%
Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £994
- Owning per month
- £1,549
54.2% fewer homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 110
- Per 1,000 residents
- 1.2
Figures for United Kingdom: Monmouthshire has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 11 times since 1995. The deepest began in September 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −21.2%
- Recovery from the low
- 84 months
In 2025 the population grew by 252 while 185 homes were finished: 1.4 new residents for every new home.
- New residents per new home, 2025
- 1.4
- Population change, 2025
- +252
5.4% of the 43,457 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 5.4%
- Empty homes
- 2,345