Merthyr Tydfil · report
House prices in Merthyr Tydfil: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £129,981 and £163,053 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £146,517
- Chance of a rise
- 43%
Merthyr Tydfil: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- Merthyr Tydfil
- Wales
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | Merthyr Tydfil | Wales | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £146,517 (£129,981–£163,053) | £224,653 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £146,695 (£130,914–£162,477) | £223,962 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £146,874 (£131,875–£161,873) | £223,271 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £147,052 (£132,869–£161,235) | £222,581 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £147,230 (£133,901–£160,559) | £221,890 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £147,408 (£134,981–£159,835) | £221,199 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £147,587 (£136,119–£159,054) | £220,508 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £147,765 (£137,331–£158,198) | £219,817 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £147,943 (£138,642–£157,244) | £219,126 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £148,121 (£140,094–£156,149) | £218,436 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £148,300 (£141,767–£154,832) | £217,745 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £148,478 (£143,874–£153,081) | £217,054 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £148,656 | £216,363 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £155,801 | £214,167 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £152,097 | £212,315 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £152,488 | £215,787 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £148,472 | £213,662 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £152,673 | £214,009 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £150,893 | £212,147 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £148,654 | £210,347 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £146,949 | £212,902 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £147,107 | £210,567 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £151,116 | £211,527 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £151,549 | £211,004 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £150,189 | £209,851 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £150,623 | £209,546 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £151,180 | £209,486 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £149,054 | £206,642 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £144,765 | £205,275 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £140,078 | £207,151 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £146,650 | £205,266 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £145,814 | £206,010 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £150,141 | £204,641 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £145,069 | £207,435 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £150,665 | £207,454 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £149,073 | £203,822 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £150,010 | £207,156 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £143,948 | £204,982 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £146,693 | £204,368 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £139,399 | £199,330 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £136,510 | £199,545 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £135,791 | £200,795 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £145,566 | £199,272 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £145,216 | £197,808 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £143,898 | £202,077 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £139,873 | £201,778 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £143,845 | £202,477 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £144,254 | £204,460 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £147,962 | £203,852 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £148,943 | £202,620 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £147,061 | £200,183 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £143,872 | £199,616 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £145,468 | £195,717 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £142,939 | £199,167 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £145,299 | £200,870 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £143,917 | £201,853 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £145,322 | £206,563 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £144,852 | £205,941 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £146,630 | £208,209 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £146,014 | £207,696 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £145,193 | £204,218 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £141,240 | £203,313 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £142,411 | £200,277 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £138,663 | £196,682 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £137,667 | £195,875 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £133,197 | £191,471 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £134,165 | £189,656 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £130,448 | £191,552 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £130,415 | £189,741 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £129,046 | £186,520 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £128,223 | £186,951 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £125,436 | £185,561 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £148,121 | £140,094 – £156,149 | 47% | 39% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £147,943 | £138,642 – £157,244 | 46% | 37% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £146,517 | £129,981 – £163,053 | 43% | 28% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for Merthyr Tydfil
At the average sale price, a home costs £148,656. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £686 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 12%
- Payment, one income
- 23%
Owning the average home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £754
- Owning per month
- £700
36.1% more homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 94
- Per 1,000 residents
- 1.6
Figures for United Kingdom: Merthyr Tydfil has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 18 times since 1995. The deepest began in September 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −24.3%
- Recovery from the low
- 77 months
In 2025 the population fell by 371 while 94 homes were finished.
- Homes finished, 2025
- 94
- Population change, 2025
- −371
5.9% of the 27,491 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 5.9%
- Empty homes
- 1,615