Hertsmere · report
House prices in Hertsmere: the next 12 months
Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £516,600 and £574,469 by August 2027.
- Expected, August 2027
- £545,534
- Chance of a rise
- 37%
Hertsmere: five years of prices and the expected path
Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path
- Hertsmere
- East of England
- United Kingdom
- Expected path
- 80% range
Show the numbers
| Period | Hertsmere | East of England | United Kingdom |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2027 · Expected path | £545,534 (£516,600–£574,469) | £339,240 | £280,154 |
| Jul 2027 · Expected path | £546,157 (£518,856–£573,458) | £339,124 | £279,560 |
| Jun 2027 · Expected path | £546,780 (£521,138–£572,421) | £339,008 | £278,967 |
| May 2027 · Expected path | £547,403 (£523,452–£571,354) | £338,892 | £278,374 |
| Apr 2027 · Expected path | £548,026 (£525,803–£570,248) | £338,776 | £277,781 |
| Mar 2027 · Expected path | £548,648 (£528,202–£569,095) | £338,660 | £277,188 |
| Feb 2027 · Expected path | £549,271 (£530,663–£567,880) | £338,544 | £276,595 |
| Jan 2027 · Expected path | £549,894 (£533,205–£566,583) | £338,428 | £276,002 |
| Dec 2026 · Expected path | £550,517 (£535,862–£565,172) | £338,312 | £275,409 |
| Nov 2026 · Expected path | £551,140 (£538,687–£563,592) | £338,196 | £274,816 |
| Oct 2026 · Expected path | £551,762 (£541,795–£561,730) | £338,080 | £274,223 |
| Sep 2026 · Expected path | £552,385 (£545,481–£559,289) | £337,964 | £273,630 |
| Aug 2026 | £553,008 | £337,848 | £273,037 |
| Jul 2026 | £552,310 | £337,008 | £272,146 |
| Jun 2026 | £563,842 | £335,623 | £270,690 |
| May 2026 | £558,389 | £338,870 | £272,221 |
| Apr 2026 | £554,822 | £337,236 | £270,966 |
| Mar 2026 | £555,548 | £335,209 | £268,631 |
| Feb 2026 | £559,210 | £337,474 | £269,423 |
| Jan 2026 | £551,195 | £335,768 | £268,814 |
| Dec 2025 | £545,088 | £334,758 | £268,002 |
| Nov 2025 | £537,661 | £335,784 | £270,472 |
| Oct 2025 | £545,919 | £336,725 | £269,819 |
| Sep 2025 | £539,041 | £336,148 | £269,556 |
| Aug 2025 | £544,881 | £337,127 | £270,575 |
| Jul 2025 | £541,704 | £335,978 | £268,843 |
| Jun 2025 | £546,380 | £335,091 | £266,796 |
| May 2025 | £547,105 | £330,647 | £264,078 |
| Apr 2025 | £551,737 | £323,863 | £260,162 |
| Mar 2025 | £550,346 | £336,733 | £268,019 |
| Feb 2025 | £544,253 | £331,922 | £264,771 |
| Jan 2025 | £542,279 | £332,546 | £264,936 |
| Dec 2024 | £541,900 | £332,966 | £263,991 |
| Nov 2024 | £540,379 | £332,235 | £264,515 |
| Oct 2024 | £543,609 | £333,824 | £265,252 |
| Sep 2024 | £537,940 | £333,803 | £264,750 |
| Aug 2024 | £539,131 | £332,456 | £265,085 |
| Jul 2024 | £527,662 | £330,577 | £262,479 |
| Jun 2024 | £540,637 | £325,834 | £259,585 |
| May 2024 | £540,157 | £326,196 | £258,565 |
| Apr 2024 | £530,956 | £325,736 | £256,478 |
| Mar 2024 | £535,879 | £322,950 | £255,082 |
| Feb 2024 | £533,143 | £324,976 | £254,633 |
| Jan 2024 | £553,757 | £328,802 | £255,972 |
| Dec 2023 | £537,655 | £326,075 | £256,177 |
| Nov 2023 | £552,144 | £329,462 | £258,368 |
| Oct 2023 | £547,297 | £331,860 | £260,129 |
| Sep 2023 | £553,935 | £334,941 | £261,318 |
| Aug 2023 | £547,628 | £335,770 | £262,602 |
| Jul 2023 | £544,987 | £336,474 | £261,182 |
| Jun 2023 | £551,190 | £332,033 | £258,275 |
| May 2023 | £564,461 | £330,394 | £257,330 |
| Apr 2023 | £571,300 | £331,572 | £256,479 |
| Mar 2023 | £568,729 | £335,589 | £255,885 |
| Feb 2023 | £560,426 | £340,888 | £258,788 |
| Jan 2023 | £568,356 | £340,655 | £260,941 |
| Dec 2022 | £571,709 | £342,442 | £263,190 |
| Nov 2022 | £580,376 | £345,454 | £265,299 |
| Oct 2022 | £585,933 | £344,144 | £265,693 |
| Sep 2022 | £583,767 | £344,762 | £265,727 |
| Aug 2022 | £569,994 | £344,145 | £265,124 |
| Jul 2022 | £556,568 | £340,723 | £262,904 |
| Jun 2022 | £546,241 | £335,070 | £258,118 |
| May 2022 | £549,027 | £332,450 | £255,040 |
| Apr 2022 | £544,057 | £328,825 | £252,167 |
| Mar 2022 | £550,969 | £325,283 | £249,232 |
| Feb 2022 | £539,677 | £326,141 | £248,309 |
| Jan 2022 | £549,592 | £322,537 | £248,031 |
| Dec 2021 | £545,055 | £319,855 | £245,189 |
| Nov 2021 | £555,106 | £319,183 | £243,930 |
| Oct 2021 | £547,413 | £312,253 | £239,236 |
| Sep 2021 | £550,660 | £316,815 | £245,371 |
What the model expects
The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.
| Horizon | Expected | 80% range | Chance of a rise | Chance of beating inflation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| In 3 months (November 2026) | £551,140 | £538,687 – £563,592 | 42% | 25% |
| In 4 months (December 2026) | £550,517 | £535,862 – £565,172 | 41% | 22% |
| In 12 months (August 2027) | £545,534 | £516,600 – £574,469 | 37% | 12% |
The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.
Other reports for Hertsmere
At the average sale price, a home costs £553,008. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £2,551 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.
- Payment, two incomes
- 35%
- Payment, one income
- 70%
Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.
- Rent per month
- £1,846
- Owning per month
- £2,604
76.2% fewer homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.
- Started, 12 months
- 40
- Per 1,000 residents
- 0.4
Figures for United Kingdom: Hertsmere has no reliable figures of its own.
Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.
- Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
- 1.8%
Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 7 times since 1995. The deepest began in November 2007.
- Deepest fall
- −20.0%
- Recovery from the low
- 40 months
In 2025 the population grew by 242 while 10 homes were finished: 24.2 new residents for every new home.
- New residents per new home, 2025
- 24.2
- Population change, 2025
- +242
4.8% of the 44,926 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.
- Empty, 2021 census
- 4.8%
- Empty homes
- 2,145
In 2025, 13% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.
- Homes from existing buildings, 2025
- 13%