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Cheltenham · report

House prices in Cheltenham: the next 12 months

Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £313,906 and £357,275 by August 2027.

Expected, August 2027
£335,590
Chance of a rise
67%

Cheltenham: five years of prices and the expected path

Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path

  • Cheltenham
  • South West
  • United Kingdom
  • Expected path
  • 80% range
Show the numbers
PeriodCheltenhamSouth WestUnited Kingdom
Aug 2027 · Expected path£335,590 (£313,906–£357,275)£308,828£280,154
Jul 2027 · Expected path£334,973 (£314,399–£355,546)£308,437£279,560
Jun 2027 · Expected path£334,355 (£314,920–£353,789)£308,046£278,967
May 2027 · Expected path£333,737 (£315,474–£352,001)£307,656£278,374
Apr 2027 · Expected path£333,119 (£316,066–£350,173)£307,265£277,781
Mar 2027 · Expected path£332,502 (£316,705–£348,298)£306,874£277,188
Feb 2027 · Expected path£331,884 (£317,405–£346,363)£306,483£276,595
Jan 2027 · Expected path£331,266 (£318,184–£344,349)£306,093£276,002
Dec 2026 · Expected path£330,649 (£319,069–£342,229)£305,702£275,409
Nov 2026 · Expected path£330,031 (£320,109–£339,953)£305,311£274,816
Oct 2026 · Expected path£329,413 (£321,400–£337,427)£304,920£274,223
Sep 2026 · Expected path£328,796 (£323,192–£334,399)£304,530£273,630
Aug 2026£328,178£304,139£273,037
Jul 2026£321,719£302,027£272,146
Jun 2026£326,314£303,232£270,690
May 2026£327,980£302,533£272,221
Apr 2026£332,178£303,427£270,966
Mar 2026£325,750£301,647£268,631
Feb 2026£324,359£301,220£269,423
Jan 2026£325,579£300,664£268,814
Dec 2025£329,141£298,687£268,002
Nov 2025£332,537£302,921£270,472
Oct 2025£329,583£300,893£269,819
Sep 2025£326,734£301,093£269,556
Aug 2025£325,307£304,262£270,575
Jul 2025£321,831£302,826£268,843
Jun 2025£318,292£298,838£266,796
May 2025£317,485£297,421£264,078
Apr 2025£317,423£292,255£260,162
Mar 2025£322,584£303,287£268,019
Feb 2025£322,148£301,560£264,771
Jan 2025£325,682£301,828£264,936
Dec 2024£329,648£300,210£263,991
Nov 2024£334,838£300,240£264,515
Oct 2024£336,911£306,423£265,252
Sep 2024£335,720£304,305£264,750
Aug 2024£330,229£303,164£265,085
Jul 2024£327,655£301,845£262,479
Jun 2024£326,931£297,239£259,585
May 2024£327,331£298,492£258,565
Apr 2024£325,133£297,850£256,478
Mar 2024£323,022£295,240£255,082
Feb 2024£318,471£296,587£254,633
Jan 2024£322,143£299,150£255,972
Dec 2023£318,236£294,676£256,177
Nov 2023£323,277£299,952£258,368
Oct 2023£321,325£305,147£260,129
Sep 2023£326,306£304,837£261,318
Aug 2023£326,946£307,132£262,602
Jul 2023£327,594£306,036£261,182
Jun 2023£327,559£300,808£258,275
May 2023£323,277£302,199£257,330
Apr 2023£316,832£302,791£256,479
Mar 2023£315,911£303,206£255,885
Feb 2023£318,990£306,826£258,788
Jan 2023£326,431£309,102£260,941
Dec 2022£328,363£308,957£263,190
Nov 2022£334,111£313,892£265,299
Oct 2022£335,449£313,800£265,693
Sep 2022£334,720£314,370£265,727
Aug 2022£327,311£314,238£265,124
Jul 2022£322,890£309,032£262,904
Jun 2022£317,183£299,771£258,118
May 2022£309,080£301,875£255,040
Apr 2022£303,233£296,983£252,167
Mar 2022£305,664£291,647£249,232
Feb 2022£307,827£291,034£248,309
Jan 2022£306,685£291,018£248,031
Dec 2021£292,001£285,237£245,189
Nov 2021£293,555£284,105£243,930
Oct 2021£287,317£276,090£239,236
Sep 2021£288,124£283,935£245,371

What the model expects

The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.

HorizonExpected80% rangeChance of a riseChance of beating inflation
In 3 months (November 2026)£330,031£320,109 – £339,95359%45%
In 4 months (December 2026)£330,649£319,069 – £342,22961%44%
In 12 months (August 2027)£335,590£313,906 – £357,27567%40%

The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.

Other reports for Cheltenham

At the average sale price, a home costs £328,178. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £1,514 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.

Payment, two incomes
22%
Payment, one income
44%

Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
£1,269
Owning per month
£1,545

61.8% more homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Started, 12 months
530
Per 1,000 residents
4.4

Figures for United Kingdom: Cheltenham has no reliable figures of its own.

Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.

Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
1.8%

Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 10 times since 1995. The deepest began in September 2007.

Deepest fall
−23.5%
Recovery from the low
62 months

In 2025 the population fell by 6 while 240 homes were finished.

Homes finished, 2025
240
Population change, 2025
−6

6.2% of the 56,809 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.

Empty, 2021 census
6.2%
Empty homes
3,500

In 2025, 9% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.

Homes from existing buildings, 2025
9%