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Amber Valley · report

House prices in Amber Valley: the next 12 months

Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between £223,188 and £260,136 by August 2027.

Expected, August 2027
£241,662
Chance of a rise
75%

Amber Valley: five years of prices and the expected path

Average sale price per home, £, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path

  • Amber Valley
  • East Midlands
  • United Kingdom
  • Expected path
  • 80% range
Show the numbers
PeriodAmber ValleyEast MidlandsUnited Kingdom
Aug 2027 · Expected path£241,662 (£223,188–£260,136)£244,375£280,154
Jul 2027 · Expected path£240,869 (£223,291–£258,446)£244,173£279,560
Jun 2027 · Expected path£240,075 (£223,422–£256,729)£243,971£278,967
May 2027 · Expected path£239,282 (£223,584–£254,979)£243,770£278,374
Apr 2027 · Expected path£238,488 (£223,784–£253,192)£243,568£277,781
Mar 2027 · Expected path£237,695 (£224,031–£251,359)£243,366£277,188
Feb 2027 · Expected path£236,901 (£224,335–£249,467)£243,165£276,595
Jan 2027 · Expected path£236,108 (£224,714–£247,502)£242,963£276,002
Dec 2026 · Expected path£235,315 (£225,193–£245,436)£242,762£275,409
Nov 2026 · Expected path£234,521 (£225,817–£243,226)£242,560£274,816
Oct 2026 · Expected path£233,728 (£226,671–£240,785)£242,358£274,223
Sep 2026 · Expected path£232,934 (£227,980–£237,889)£242,157£273,630
Aug 2026£232,141£241,955£273,037
Jul 2026£232,223£241,060£272,146
Jun 2026£237,676£238,396£270,690
May 2026£237,890£242,610£272,221
Apr 2026£234,273£242,002£270,966
Mar 2026£230,385£241,579£268,631
Feb 2026£227,815£241,087£269,423
Jan 2026£230,729£240,921£268,814
Dec 2025£232,077£240,597£268,002
Nov 2025£235,123£240,489£270,472
Oct 2025£233,973£240,774£269,819
Sep 2025£230,239£239,659£269,556
Aug 2025£225,994£240,801£270,575
Jul 2025£222,641£237,763£268,843
Jun 2025£220,368£234,828£266,796
May 2025£222,809£233,359£264,078
Apr 2025£222,674£228,979£260,162
Mar 2025£225,304£240,072£268,019
Feb 2025£224,354£236,450£264,771
Jan 2025£222,238£236,516£264,936
Dec 2024£222,079£237,904£263,991
Nov 2024£222,339£235,874£264,515
Oct 2024£224,238£236,104£265,252
Sep 2024£224,416£234,886£264,750
Aug 2024£218,637£234,304£265,085
Jul 2024£216,945£233,319£262,479
Jun 2024£211,296£228,627£259,585
May 2024£213,058£230,613£258,565
Apr 2024£209,987£227,940£256,478
Mar 2024£210,234£227,703£255,082
Feb 2024£212,462£227,623£254,633
Jan 2024£216,754£227,053£255,972
Dec 2023£220,820£229,757£256,177
Nov 2023£217,425£233,029£258,368
Oct 2023£216,723£232,325£260,129
Sep 2023£211,020£233,437£261,318
Aug 2023£213,570£235,914£262,602
Jul 2023£211,762£233,810£261,182
Jun 2023£213,566£232,790£258,275
May 2023£214,748£229,615£257,330
Apr 2023£217,992£230,965£256,479
Mar 2023£222,232£229,868£255,885
Feb 2023£220,130£232,456£258,788
Jan 2023£221,983£235,315£260,941
Dec 2022£220,328£237,956£263,190
Nov 2022£221,949£237,753£265,299
Oct 2022£216,507£237,264£265,693
Sep 2022£215,490£236,940£265,727
Aug 2022£210,980£237,151£265,124
Jul 2022£210,136£233,487£262,904
Jun 2022£204,811£231,038£258,118
May 2022£202,918£226,878£255,040
Apr 2022£201,823£224,769£252,167
Mar 2022£205,928£222,760£249,232
Feb 2022£206,125£221,012£248,309
Jan 2022£202,179£219,956£248,031
Dec 2021£197,554£218,318£245,189
Nov 2021£197,862£216,112£243,930
Oct 2021£197,765£212,790£239,236
Sep 2021£193,155£217,444£245,371

What the model expects

The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.

HorizonExpected80% rangeChance of a riseChance of beating inflation
In 3 months (November 2026)£234,521£225,817 – £243,22664%52%
In 4 months (December 2026)£235,315£225,193 – £245,43666%53%
In 12 months (August 2027)£241,662£223,188 – £260,13675%54%

The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.

Other reports for Amber Valley

At the average sale price, a home costs £232,141. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is £1,071 a month. The UK sets no cap on the payment; no more than 15% of new mortgages may lend over 4.5 times income.

Payment, two incomes
17%
Payment, one income
34%

Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is the average of all private tenancies. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
£807
Owning per month
£1,093

9.3% more homes were started in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Started, 12 months
460
Per 1,000 residents
3.5

Figures for United Kingdom: Amber Valley has no reliable figures of its own.

Buyers living abroad bought 1.8% of the homes sold here in the four quarters to Q1 2025.

Bought by buyers abroad, 12 months
1.8%

Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 10 times since 1995. The deepest began in October 2007.

Deepest fall
−21.1%
Recovery from the low
83 months

In 2025 the population grew by 1,638 while 480 homes were finished: 3.4 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
3.4
Population change, 2025
+1,638

4.1% of the 58,812 homes counted in the 2021 census had nobody usually living in them.

Empty, 2021 census
4.1%
Empty homes
2,405

In 2025, 2% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.

Homes from existing buildings, 2025
2%