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Mafra · report

Past price cycles in Mafra

Bank valuations have fallen by 3% or more 6 times since 2011. The deepest began in February 2012.

Deepest fall
−26.7%
Recovery from the low
49 months

Prices in Mafra and Portugal, indexed

Bank valuations, both set to 100 in January 2011.

  • Mafra
  • Portugal
  • 100 = January 2011
Show the numbers
PeriodMafraPortugal
Sep 2026287.7259.7
Aug 2026279.4257.0
Jul 2026279.2255.4
Jun 2026283.9254.0
May 2026274.2251.8
Apr 2026270.6247.9
Mar 2026261.6245.3
Feb 2026266.7242.0
Jan 2026251.9240.0
Dec 2025245.7237.3
Nov 2025246.1234.9
Oct 2025247.6230.9
Sep 2025249.4227.5
Aug 2025252.3224.1
Jul 2025245.4221.8
Jun 2025244.9217.9
May 2025238.4215.1
Apr 2025230.9212.8
Mar 2025225.6210.6
Feb 2025221.2206.4
Jan 2025220.0202.3
Dec 2024211.6199.2
Nov 2024213.1198.4
Oct 2024210.3196.2
Sep 2024206.8193.3
Aug 2024203.6189.7
Jul 2024199.7186.8
Jun 2024201.1184.5
May 2024198.3183.6
Apr 2024195.4182.0
Mar 2024193.6180.2
Feb 2024191.5177.9
Jan 2024190.5176.7
Dec 2023192.8175.1
Nov 2023195.5174.5
Oct 2023195.4175.1
Sep 2023194.4175.7
Aug 2023189.6175.4
Jul 2023184.1173.9
Jun 2023184.9173.1
May 2023189.8172.2
Apr 2023186.1170.0
Mar 2023185.2169.1
Feb 2023187.4168.5
Jan 2023191.9169.3
Dec 2022193.2166.2
Nov 2022188.6165.2
Oct 2022187.7161.9
Sep 2022176.7162.9
Aug 2022175.9161.2
Jul 2022179.1161.6
Jun 2022181.8160.4
May 2022180.0157.4
Apr 2022169.1154.6
Mar 2022166.5151.8
Feb 2022166.9149.8
Jan 2022161.2147.3
Dec 2021159.1146.5
Nov 2021155.9145.0
Oct 2021155.6142.6
Sep 2021155.0140.9
Aug 2021148.1139.2
Jul 2021151.5139.2
Jun 2021148.0138.5
May 2021147.3138.2
Apr 2021142.1136.8
Mar 2021141.4135.3
Feb 2021142.2133.9
Jan 2021141.2133.4
Dec 2020140.6131.8
Nov 2020140.1130.4
Oct 2020140.9129.0
Sep 2020140.7128.6
Aug 2020140.4128.6
Jul 2020136.9128.5
Jun 2020136.2127.6
May 2020138.9127.0
Apr 2020135.4126.7
Mar 2020133.8126.6
Feb 2020133.4126.7
Jan 2020131.3125.8
Dec 2019130.6124.4
Nov 2019126.3122.7
Oct 2019126.6121.9
Sep 2019124.9121.6
Aug 2019124.4120.2
Jul 2019123.1119.0
Jun 2019117.8117.4
May 2019117.1116.6
Apr 2019119.6115.7
Mar 2019125.1114.7
Feb 2019122.3114.0
Jan 2019118.9112.1
Dec 2018119.0111.4
Nov 2018122.7110.4
Oct 2018121.5110.3
Sep 2018115.1109.4
Aug 2018109.4108.4
Jul 2018108.6107.3
Jun 2018104.5106.3
May 2018101.7105.9
Apr 201897.3105.4
Mar 201899.8104.9
Feb 201898.3103.9
Jan 201898.9102.9
Dec 201798.3101.6
Nov 2017101.9101.4
Oct 2017101.4101.0
Sep 2017101.5100.5
Aug 201796.899.0
Jul 201796.198.2
Jun 201792.798.1
May 201790.397.7
Apr 201790.197.4
Mar 201792.196.8
Feb 201789.396.6
Jan 201787.195.9
Dec 201687.195.0
Nov 201689.294.2
Oct 201692.093.5
Sep 201692.693.0
Aug 201690.592.8
Jul 201688.991.9
Jun 201683.591.6
May 201683.391.2
Apr 201683.990.5
Mar 201685.389.9
Feb 201681.689.5
Jan 201679.789.5
Dec 201584.589.9
Nov 201586.889.3
Oct 201587.988.9
Sep 201583.888.6
Aug 201580.488.3
Jul 201581.188.5
Jun 201579.587.7
May 201581.587.6
Apr 201581.586.7
Mar 201581.586.2
Feb 201578.886.2
Jan 201578.186.2
Dec 201479.185.6
Nov 201486.085.6
Oct 201488.786.2
Sep 201488.888.0
Aug 201483.888.4
Jul 201478.887.0
Jun 201475.985.3
May 201475.784.2
Apr 201481.183.9
Mar 201483.084.3
Feb 201477.885.7
Jan 201476.186.7
Dec 201378.887.0
Nov 201385.786.9
Oct 201384.187.2
Sep 201379.487.0
Aug 201383.886.8
Jul 201381.686.5
Jun 201378.687.1
May 201379.686.4
Apr 201379.685.3
Mar 201379.784.6
Feb 201379.785.1
Jan 201382.886.5
Dec 201289.587.8
Nov 201288.088.3
Oct 201286.188.7
Sep 201284.889.4
Aug 201286.189.4
Jul 201289.789.7
Jun 201290.190.2
May 201290.191.2
Apr 201287.092.8
Mar 201294.392.5
Feb 2012103.492.4
Jan 2012100.092.2
Dec 201197.593.3
Nov 201192.294.5
Oct 201195.195.0
Sep 201193.196.2
Aug 201196.897.1
Jul 201195.797.9
Jun 201198.699.4
May 201198.9101.4
Apr 2011100.0102.6
Mar 2011100.4102.4
Feb 2011103.2101.1
Jan 2011100.0100.0

Every fall of 3% or more

From the peak to the lowest month after it, and how long prices took to get back.

PeakLowFallMonths fallingMonths to recover
February 2011November 2011−10.6%93
February 2012May 2014−26.7%2749
November 2018January 2019−3.1%22
March 2019May 2019−6.4%25
June 2022August 2022−3.2%22
December 2022July 2023−4.7%72

Portugal against the EU since 2015

Eurostat's house price index for all dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, comparable across member states.

  • Portugal
  • EU
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugalEU
Q2 2026301.4168.6
Q1 2026291.0166.5
Q4 2025280.2164.6
Q3 2025269.4163.5
Q2 2025258.8161.0
Q1 2025247.1158.5
Q4 2024235.7156.2
Q3 2024228.9155.1
Q2 2024220.7152.7
Q1 2024212.5149.8
Q4 2023211.3148.9
Q3 2023208.5149.1
Q2 2023204.7148.2
Q1 2023198.6147.6
Q4 2022195.9148.7
Q3 2022193.8150.9
Q2 2022188.3149.6
Q1 2022182.6146.2
Q4 2021176.0143.2
Q3 2021171.3140.2
Q2 2021166.4136.0
Q1 2021161.7132.1
Q4 2020157.7129.8
Q3 2020153.6128.1
Q2 2020154.3126.3
Q1 2020151.7124.4
Q4 2019146.1122.7
Q3 2019143.7121.5
Q2 2019140.7119.8
Q1 2019137.1117.6
Q4 2018132.3116.8
Q3 2018129.7115.9
Q2 2018128.5114.2
Q1 2018125.6112.3
Q4 2017121.1111.2
Q3 2017119.6110.4
Q2 2017115.5108.8
Q1 2017111.9106.9
Q4 2016109.6106.1
Q3 2016108.3105.4
Q2 2016106.9103.8
Q1 2016103.7102.0
Q4 2015101.8101.1
Q3 2015100.7100.8
Q2 2015100.699.8
Q1 201596.998.3

Bank valuations go back to 2011, so they include the fall after the euro crisis; asking prices start in 2015. A fall counts once prices drop 3% below a peak, and ends when they are back at it.

Other reports for Mafra

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €3,247/m² and €3,618/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€3,433/m²
Chance of a rise
97%

At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €245,430. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €931 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
33%
Payment, one income
66%

Owning and renting a 90 m² home cost about the same each month. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€987
Owning per month
€949

Sellers ask 15.6% more than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +21.4%.

Gap today
+15.6%
Change in a year
−5.8 pp

20.2% more homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
529
Per 1,000 residents
5.5

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 52.6% more per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
+52.6%

In 2025 the population grew by 673 while 334 homes were finished: 2.0 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
2.0
Population change, 2025
+673

9.1% of the 44,882 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
9.1%
Empty homes
4,093

In 2025, 14% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
14%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
0.7

Public bodies signed €22.1M of housing works here in 2025, and €35.2M since 2012.

Signed in 2025
€22.1M
Per resident, 2025
€230

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

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