Imofolio
Sign inGet started for free

Fronteira · report

Past price cycles in Fronteira

Asking prices have fallen by 3% or more 3 times since 2019. The deepest began in September 2020.

Deepest fall
−16.2%
Recovery from the low
6 months

Prices in Fronteira and Portugal, indexed

Asking prices, both set to 100 in January 2019.

  • Fronteira
  • Portugal
  • 100 = January 2019
Show the numbers
PeriodFronteiraPortugal
Sep 2026198.5181.0
Aug 2026198.5179.9
Jul 2026197.7180.0
Jun 2026194.5180.1
May 2026188.3179.4
Apr 2026182.0179.4
Mar 2026175.8178.0
Feb 2026163.6176.2
Jan 2026151.3174.5
Dec 2025138.8172.7
Nov 2025138.8171.8
Oct 2025136.9169.5
Sep 2025137.3167.9
Aug 2025132.6167.3
Jul 2025133.1166.7
Jun 2025126.3164.8
May 2025131.4162.1
Apr 2025125.6160.8
Mar 2025127.1158.8
Feb 2025128.0156.8
Jan 2025127.3154.4
Dec 2024122.5152.6
Nov 2024122.2150.2
Oct 2024127.5148.6
Sep 2024126.5147.8
Aug 2024125.4147.3
Jul 2024124.2147.2
Jun 2024126.1145.9
May 2024128.0145.1
Apr 2024130.1143.1
Mar 2024136.9142.0
Feb 2024135.6140.9
Jan 2024130.9140.1
Dec 2023126.3138.4
Nov 2023121.6137.1
Oct 2023116.9135.1
Sep 2023112.1134.0
Aug 2023109.7133.8
Jul 2023107.4134.2
Jun 2023104.9134.1
May 2023102.5132.9
Apr 202398.9132.3
Mar 202393.0131.1
Feb 202396.2130.4
Jan 202395.8129.6
Dec 202299.4128.9
Nov 2022103.0128.7
Oct 2022104.2126.7
Sep 2022103.4126.0
Aug 2022102.8125.7
Jul 2022100.2125.6
Jun 202297.5125.5
May 202297.0125.4
Apr 202299.6124.7
Mar 2022103.8124.7
Feb 2022105.1124.2
Jan 2022107.0123.6
Dec 2021103.4123.5
Nov 2021107.4123.2
Oct 2021103.0122.4
Sep 2021104.4121.0
Aug 2021103.4120.5
Jul 2021103.2120.0
Jun 2021103.6119.0
May 2021104.2118.2
Apr 2021104.7117.6
Mar 2021105.1117.6
Feb 2021105.5117.2
Jan 2021106.1117.4
Dec 2020106.6116.7
Nov 2020107.0115.8
Oct 2020109.1114.3
Sep 2020111.0113.0
Aug 2020110.0112.4
Jul 2020104.7111.7
Jun 202099.6112.3
May 202097.7112.7
Apr 202099.8113.3
Mar 202099.2112.2
Feb 2020101.9111.4
Jan 202098.3110.2
Dec 2019100.0110.9
Nov 2019100.2110.3
Oct 2019100.6110.0
Sep 2019101.7109.8
Aug 2019100.8109.9
Jul 2019100.0110.0
Jun 2019104.9108.3
May 2019101.5105.8
Apr 201998.3103.5
Mar 201997.2102.4
Feb 201998.3101.1
Jan 2019100.0100.0

Every fall of 3% or more

From the peak to the lowest month after it, and how long prices took to get back.

PeakLowFallMonths fallingMonths to recover
June 2019May 2020−6.9%113
September 2020March 2023−16.2%306
March 2024November 2024−10.7%810

Portugal against the EU since 2015

Eurostat's house price index for all dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, comparable across member states.

  • Portugal
  • EU
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugalEU
Q2 2026301.4168.6
Q1 2026291.0166.5
Q4 2025280.2164.6
Q3 2025269.4163.5
Q2 2025258.8161.0
Q1 2025247.1158.5
Q4 2024235.7156.2
Q3 2024228.9155.1
Q2 2024220.7152.7
Q1 2024212.5149.8
Q4 2023211.3148.9
Q3 2023208.5149.1
Q2 2023204.7148.2
Q1 2023198.6147.6
Q4 2022195.9148.7
Q3 2022193.8150.9
Q2 2022188.3149.6
Q1 2022182.6146.2
Q4 2021176.0143.2
Q3 2021171.3140.2
Q2 2021166.4136.0
Q1 2021161.7132.1
Q4 2020157.7129.8
Q3 2020153.6128.1
Q2 2020154.3126.3
Q1 2020151.7124.4
Q4 2019146.1122.7
Q3 2019143.7121.5
Q2 2019140.7119.8
Q1 2019137.1117.6
Q4 2018132.3116.8
Q3 2018129.7115.9
Q2 2018128.5114.2
Q1 2018125.6112.3
Q4 2017121.1111.2
Q3 2017119.6110.4
Q2 2017115.5108.8
Q1 2017111.9106.9
Q4 2016109.6106.1
Q3 2016108.3105.4
Q2 2016106.9103.8
Q1 2016103.7102.0
Q4 2015101.8101.1
Q3 2015100.7100.8
Q2 2015100.699.8
Q1 201596.998.3

Bank valuations go back to 2011, so they include the fall after the euro crisis; asking prices start in 2015. A fall counts once prices drop 3% below a peak, and ends when they are back at it.

Other reports for Fronteira

Next 12 months

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €973/m² and €1,316/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€1,144/m²
Chance of a rise
94%

Affordability

At the median sale price, a 90 m² home costs €62,100. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €236 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
10%
Payment, one income
20%

Buy or rent

Figures for Alto Alentejo: Fronteira has no reliable figures of its own.

Owning a 90 m² home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€410
Owning per month
€246

New homes

6.7% fewer homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
1
Per 1,000 residents
0.3

Foreign buyers

Figures for Alto Alentejo: Fronteira has no reliable figures of its own.

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 24.0% more per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
+24.0%

People and new homes

In 2025 the population fell by 30 while 1 homes were finished.

Homes finished, 2025
1
Population change, 2025
−30

Empty homes

17.7% of the 2,565 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
17.7%
Empty homes
455

Renovation

In 2025, 50% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
50%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
33.3

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

Made with Imofolio · imofolio.com/en/market/portugal/fronteira/cycles

Selling homes in Portugal? Keep the whole sale in one place.

Imofolio is the CRM for estate agents and agencies: properties, buyers, viewings, proposals and your own website, from the first enquiry to the closing.

Try free for 3 daysTalk to the team