Imofolio

Caldas da Rainha · report

Asking prices against bank valuations in Caldas da Rainha

Sellers ask 15.9% more than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +19.6%.

Gap today
+15.9%
Change in a year
−3.7 pp

How far apart the three prices are in Caldas da Rainha

Each line sets one measure of price against another, in %. Above zero, the first is higher.

  • Asking price against bank valuation
  • Asking price against sale price
  • Bank valuation against sale price
  • No gap
Show the numbers
PeriodAsking price against bank valuationAsking price against sale priceBank valuation against sale price
Sep 202615.9%——
Aug 202620.1%——
Jul 202621.8%——
Jun 202624.7%1.6%-16.6%
May 202622.7%——
Apr 202619.6%——
Mar 202618.2%3.4%-15.6%
Feb 202615.3%——
Jan 202629.4%——
Dec 202522.9%5.9%-14.7%
Nov 202527.7%——
Oct 202521.1%——
Sep 202519.6%7.5%-14.3%
Aug 202516.9%——
Jul 202524.5%——
Jun 202524.9%8.2%-15.3%
May 202522.7%——
Apr 202528.3%——
Mar 202525.1%8.8%-15.9%
Feb 202526.7%——
Jan 202531.8%——
Dec 202431.3%9.1%-16.4%
Nov 202431.2%——
Oct 202426.6%——
Sep 202429.9%7.0%-18.1%
Aug 202428.7%——
Jul 202428.6%——
Jun 202426.6%9.5%-16.1%
May 202431.7%——
Apr 202436.1%——
Mar 202437.4%8.1%-16.3%
Feb 202430.0%——
Jan 202428.8%——
Dec 202327.0%8.2%-16.1%
Nov 202332.7%——
Oct 202330.3%——
Sep 202331.5%9.6%-16.1%
Aug 202327.2%——
Jul 202325.9%——
Jun 202325.7%10.3%-15.5%
May 202330.3%——
Apr 202323.8%——
Mar 202328.1%8.6%-17.2%
Feb 202329.1%——
Jan 202336.8%——
Dec 202239.2%8.7%-16.5%
Nov 202238.0%——
Oct 202234.8%——
Sep 202227.8%5.6%-16.1%
Aug 202228.5%——
Jul 202226.5%——
Jun 202222.3%5.9%-16.0%
May 202230.3%——
Apr 202233.0%——
Mar 202232.7%5.6%-15.0%
Feb 202231.8%——
Jan 202217.2%——
Dec 202116.6%5.3%-14.3%
Nov 202118.5%——
Oct 202126.8%——
Sep 202127.3%6.7%-13.7%
Aug 202132.6%——
Jul 202126.6%——
Jun 202125.4%9.3%-11.7%
May 202117.8%——
Apr 202119.4%——
Mar 202119.0%9.0%-12.5%
Feb 202123.2%——
Jan 202123.3%——
Dec 202018.3%9.8%-12.1%
Nov 202025.5%——
Oct 202026.0%——
Sep 202031.4%12.0%-11.1%
Aug 202029.4%——
Jul 202029.2%——
Jun 202024.0%14.2%-9.6%
May 202021.9%——
Apr 202024.0%——
Mar 202025.1%16.3%-9.8%
Feb 202023.3%——
Jan 202021.3%——
Dec 201925.7%15.3%-11.6%
Nov 201927.3%——
Oct 201929.2%——
Sep 201928.4%——
Aug 201932.6%——
Jul 201935.5%——
Jun 201935.2%——
May 201934.2%——
Apr 201932.7%——
Mar 201932.1%——
Feb 201928.8%——
Jan 201924.4%——
Dec 201821.3%——
Nov 201818.3%——
Oct 201818.3%——
Sep 201822.3%——
Aug 201828.1%——
Jul 201828.9%——
Jun 201834.0%——
May 201830.1%——
Apr 201832.2%——
Mar 201826.6%——
Feb 201830.5%——
Jan 201823.7%——
Dec 201724.6%——
Nov 201719.2%——
Oct 201721.2%——
Sep 201719.3%——
Aug 201719.0%——
Jul 201716.2%——
Jun 201716.2%——
May 201714.6%——
Apr 201717.6%——
Mar 201723.7%——
Feb 201725.6%——
Jan 201723.8%——
Dec 201624.6%——
Nov 201619.9%——
Oct 201623.5%——
Sep 201619.6%——
Aug 201620.5%——
Jul 201615.5%——
Jun 201618.5%——
May 201620.8%——
Apr 201628.4%——
Mar 201630.1%——
Feb 201621.3%——
Jan 201625.6%——
Dec 201520.5%——
Nov 201523.1%——
Oct 201530.4%——
Sep 201533.4%——
Aug 201527.0%——
Jul 201517.8%——
Jun 201529.6%——
May 201538.3%——
Apr 201545.3%——
Mar 201537.2%——
Feb 201537.1%——
Jan 201529.6%——

New homes against existing homes, Portugal

Eurostat's house price index for Portugal, newly built and existing dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, shown here as context.

  • Existing homes
  • New homes
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodExisting homesNew homes
Q2 2026327.5235.2
Q1 2026316.1227.2
Q4 2025303.2221.2
Q3 2025290.0215.6
Q2 2025277.5209.5
Q1 2025264.0201.7
Q4 2024250.8194.6
Q3 2024243.5189.0
Q2 2024234.5183.0
Q1 2024225.7176.2
Q4 2023223.2177.6
Q3 2023220.4175.0
Q2 2023216.5171.6
Q1 2023209.7167.0
Q4 2022206.4166.1
Q3 2022203.8165.3
Q2 2022198.7158.9
Q1 2022191.3157.9
Q4 2021183.2155.1
Q3 2021177.7152.5
Q2 2021173.2146.6
Q1 2021168.4142.4
Q4 2020163.6140.3
Q3 2020159.4136.6
Q2 2020160.3136.9
Q1 2020157.4135.0
Q4 2019151.5130.3
Q3 2019148.6129.4
Q2 2019145.2127.9
Q1 2019142.1122.8
Q4 2018136.6120.3
Q3 2018134.1117.2
Q2 2018132.9115.9
Q1 2018129.2115.8
Q4 2017124.7111.0
Q3 2017122.8110.9
Q2 2017118.0109.0
Q1 2017114.3105.6
Q4 2016111.5104.8
Q3 2016110.2103.8
Q2 2016108.3103.5
Q1 2016104.7101.3
Q4 2015102.1101.3
Q3 2015101.0100.0
Q2 201599.9101.9
Q1 201597.096.8

Asking prices are what sellers advertise on property portals. Bank valuations are what lenders' surveyors assess. Sale prices are what deeds record, as INE's 12-month median, so the other two are averaged over the same 12 months before they are compared.

Other reports for Caldas da Rainha

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €2,365/m² and €2,694/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€2,530/m²
Chance of a rise
93%

At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €181,620. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €689 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
29%
Payment, one income
58%

Owning a 90 m² home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€758
Owning per month
€691

59.5% more homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
418
Per 1,000 residents
7.1

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 18.4% more per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
+18.4%

Bank valuations have fallen by 3% or more 13 times since 2014. The deepest began in October 2018.

Deepest fall
−10.2%
Recovery from the low
8 months

In 2025 the population grew by 284 while 261 homes were finished: 1.1 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
1.1
Population change, 2025
+284

15.1% of the 31,590 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
15.1%
Empty homes
4,761

In 2025, 0% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
0%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
0.0

Public bodies signed €27K of housing works here in 2023, and €302.3K since 2012.

Signed in 2023
€27K
Per resident, 2023
€0

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

Made with Imofolio · imofolio.com/en/market/portugal/caldas-da-rainha/gaps

Selling homes in Portugal? Keep the whole sale in one place.

Imofolio is the CRM for estate agents and agencies: properties, buyers, viewings, proposals and your own website, from the first enquiry to the closing.