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Arruda dos Vinhos · report

Past price cycles in Arruda dos Vinhos

Asking prices have fallen by 3% or more 7 times since 2015. The deepest began in May 2020.

Deepest fall
−11.8%
Recovery from the low
9 months

Prices in Arruda dos Vinhos and Portugal, indexed

Asking prices, both set to 100 in June 2015.

  • Arruda dos Vinhos
  • Portugal
  • 100 = June 2015
Show the numbers
PeriodArruda dos VinhosPortugal
Sep 2026313.2302.2
Aug 2026312.1300.3
Jul 2026300.6300.6
Jun 2026293.8300.7
May 2026288.9299.4
Apr 2026286.0299.4
Mar 2026294.4297.2
Feb 2026288.6294.1
Jan 2026292.3291.4
Dec 2025293.1288.4
Nov 2025294.0286.8
Oct 2025295.2283.1
Sep 2025299.2280.2
Aug 2025285.2279.3
Jul 2025288.3278.3
Jun 2025283.6275.1
May 2025278.9270.7
Apr 2025276.8268.4
Mar 2025262.1265.2
Feb 2025260.2261.7
Jan 2025258.2257.8
Dec 2024251.7254.7
Nov 2024241.4250.7
Oct 2024237.4248.1
Sep 2024234.3246.8
Aug 2024225.7245.9
Jul 2024217.5245.7
Jun 2024216.7243.6
May 2024212.0242.3
Apr 2024216.7238.9
Mar 2024211.7237.1
Feb 2024206.7235.2
Jan 2024206.0233.9
Dec 2023201.7231.0
Nov 2023202.6228.9
Oct 2023198.2225.5
Sep 2023199.8223.8
Aug 2023200.4223.3
Jul 2023197.9224.1
Jun 2023193.1223.9
May 2023189.6221.8
Apr 2023189.8220.9
Mar 2023189.8218.8
Feb 2023183.6217.7
Jan 2023176.5216.3
Dec 2022175.6215.3
Nov 2022178.5214.8
Oct 2022176.5211.5
Sep 2022172.4210.3
Aug 2022178.9209.9
Jul 2022177.0209.6
Jun 2022170.4209.6
May 2022163.7209.3
Apr 2022157.0208.1
Mar 2022156.7208.2
Feb 2022149.0207.3
Jan 2022152.4206.4
Dec 2021150.8206.2
Nov 2021149.0205.6
Oct 2021146.5204.4
Sep 2021151.5202.0
Aug 2021151.2201.1
Jul 2021156.0200.4
Jun 2021150.2198.6
May 2021146.1197.4
Apr 2021147.0196.3
Mar 2021141.9196.3
Feb 2021141.2195.6
Jan 2021139.6196.1
Dec 2020138.6194.9
Nov 2020133.9193.3
Oct 2020132.4190.8
Sep 2020131.7188.7
Aug 2020135.2187.6
Jul 2020138.7186.5
Jun 2020139.9187.5
May 2020149.3188.2
Apr 2020144.5189.1
Mar 2020142.9187.3
Feb 2020135.5186.0
Jan 2020137.0183.9
Dec 2019138.6185.1
Nov 2019141.8184.1
Oct 2019142.0183.6
Sep 2019136.7183.3
Aug 2019136.4183.5
Jul 2019133.6183.6
Jun 2019131.2180.8
May 2019128.2176.6
Apr 2019126.8172.8
Mar 2019119.5170.9
Feb 2019121.8168.7
Jan 2019119.3166.9
Dec 2018118.7166.5
Nov 2018115.7165.2
Oct 2018114.4163.2
Sep 2018115.6159.5
Aug 2018115.5156.5
Jul 2018114.3156.0
Jun 2018113.9152.5
May 2018114.0151.1
Apr 2018113.8147.9
Mar 2018114.8146.4
Feb 2018109.2145.8
Jan 2018108.8143.5
Dec 2017104.6143.9
Nov 2017103.5142.2
Oct 2017108.0140.2
Sep 2017102.9137.2
Aug 2017101.7135.3
Jul 2017104.3133.0
Jun 2017104.2131.2
May 201799.6128.2
Apr 2017101.4128.0
Mar 201797.6126.6
Feb 201797.0124.5
Jan 201795.7123.0
Dec 201699.0122.0
Nov 201698.1121.3
Oct 2016103.3118.8
Sep 2016102.5115.5
Aug 2016101.7112.5
Jul 2016108.3108.6
Jun 2016106.8108.5
May 2016106.5107.4
Apr 2016103.3106.7
Mar 201699.6107.7
Feb 201699.3107.4
Jan 201699.9106.2
Dec 2015101.9104.3
Nov 201599.3102.6
Oct 201598.8102.1
Sep 2015105.5101.4
Aug 2015104.8100.5
Jul 2015101.499.6
Jun 2015100.0100.0

Every fall of 3% or more

From the peak to the lowest month after it, and how long prices took to get back.

PeakLowFallMonths fallingMonths to recover
September 2015October 2015−6.3%17
July 2016January 2017−11.6%612
October 2019February 2020−4.6%41
May 2020September 2020−11.8%49
July 2021October 2021−6.0%35
August 2022September 2022−3.7%15
September 2025April 2026−4.4%73

Portugal against the EU since 2015

Eurostat's house price index for all dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, comparable across member states.

  • Portugal
  • EU
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugalEU
Q2 2026301.4168.6
Q1 2026291.0166.5
Q4 2025280.2164.6
Q3 2025269.4163.5
Q2 2025258.8161.0
Q1 2025247.1158.5
Q4 2024235.7156.2
Q3 2024228.9155.1
Q2 2024220.7152.7
Q1 2024212.5149.8
Q4 2023211.3148.9
Q3 2023208.5149.1
Q2 2023204.7148.2
Q1 2023198.6147.6
Q4 2022195.9148.7
Q3 2022193.8150.9
Q2 2022188.3149.6
Q1 2022182.6146.2
Q4 2021176.0143.2
Q3 2021171.3140.2
Q2 2021166.4136.0
Q1 2021161.7132.1
Q4 2020157.7129.8
Q3 2020153.6128.1
Q2 2020154.3126.3
Q1 2020151.7124.4
Q4 2019146.1122.7
Q3 2019143.7121.5
Q2 2019140.7119.8
Q1 2019137.1117.6
Q4 2018132.3116.8
Q3 2018129.7115.9
Q2 2018128.5114.2
Q1 2018125.6112.3
Q4 2017121.1111.2
Q3 2017119.6110.4
Q2 2017115.5108.8
Q1 2017111.9106.9
Q4 2016109.6106.1
Q3 2016108.3105.4
Q2 2016106.9103.8
Q1 2016103.7102.0
Q4 2015101.8101.1
Q3 2015100.7100.8
Q2 2015100.699.8
Q1 201596.998.3

Bank valuations go back to 2011, so they include the fall after the euro crisis; asking prices start in 2015. A fall counts once prices drop 3% below a peak, and ends when they are back at it.

Other reports for Arruda dos Vinhos

Next 12 months

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €2,729/m² and €3,234/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€2,982/m²
Chance of a rise
96%

Affordability

At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €186,930. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €709 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
25%
Payment, one income
50%

Buy or rent

Owning and renting a 90 m² home cost about the same each month. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€708
Owning per month
€712

Asking against valuation

Sellers ask 26.7% more than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +20.4%.

Gap today
+26.7%
Change in a year
+6.3 pp

New homes

17.2% fewer homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
44
Per 1,000 residents
2.7

Foreign buyers

Figures for Oeste: Arruda dos Vinhos has no reliable figures of its own.

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 23.9% more per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
+23.9%

People and new homes

In 2025 the population grew by 27 while 67 homes were finished: 0.4 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
0.4
Population change, 2025
+27

Empty homes

12.3% of the 6,698 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
12.3%
Empty homes
821

Renovation

In 2025, 13% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
13%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
0.0

Public housing works

Public bodies signed €122.9K of housing works here in 2025, and €2M since 2012.

Signed in 2025
€122.9K
Per resident, 2025
€8

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

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