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Almeirim · report

Past price cycles in Almeirim

Bank valuations have fallen by 3% or more 6 times since 2020. The deepest began in February 2021.

Deepest fall
−8.6%
Recovery from the low
7 months

Prices in Almeirim and Portugal, indexed

Bank valuations, both set to 100 in July 2020.

  • Almeirim
  • Portugal
  • 100 = July 2020
Show the numbers
PeriodAlmeirimPortugal
Sep 2026233.8202.1
Aug 2026225.9200.0
Jul 2026230.3198.8
Jun 2026227.7197.7
May 2026235.4195.9
Apr 2026237.7192.9
Mar 2026233.8190.9
Feb 2026224.7188.3
Jan 2026209.4186.8
Dec 2025202.3184.6
Nov 2025187.8182.8
Oct 2025183.1179.7
Sep 2025184.5177.0
Aug 2025181.2174.4
Jul 2025178.0172.6
Jun 2025174.7169.6
May 2025169.4167.3
Apr 2025166.0165.6
Mar 2025164.3163.9
Feb 2025166.9160.6
Jan 2025165.7157.4
Dec 2024158.7155.0
Nov 2024154.3154.4
Oct 2024155.4152.7
Sep 2024155.0150.4
Aug 2024152.9147.6
Jul 2024151.5145.3
Jun 2024147.3143.6
May 2024153.6142.9
Apr 2024151.6141.6
Mar 2024149.2140.2
Feb 2024146.8138.4
Jan 2024134.0137.5
Dec 2023133.8136.3
Nov 2023134.3135.8
Oct 2023138.6136.3
Sep 2023134.9136.7
Aug 2023130.2136.5
Jul 2023133.4135.3
Jun 2023134.9134.7
May 2023141.3134.0
Apr 2023126.7132.3
Mar 2023126.7131.6
Feb 2023127.6131.1
Jan 2023132.8131.8
Dec 2022131.4129.4
Nov 2022123.7128.6
Oct 2022123.7126.0
Sep 2022110.7126.8
Aug 2022111.4125.5
Jul 2022109.5125.7
Jun 2022109.7124.8
May 2022109.7122.4
Apr 2022110.5120.3
Mar 2022108.2118.1
Feb 2022108.2116.6
Jan 2022105.6114.6
Dec 2021102.1114.0
Nov 202197.7112.9
Oct 202199.7111.0
Sep 202194.4109.7
Aug 202198.5108.3
Jul 202195.8108.3
Jun 202196.4107.8
May 202191.4107.5
Apr 202193.8106.5
Mar 202194.8105.3
Feb 2021100.0104.2
Jan 202199.1103.8
Dec 202097.3102.6
Nov 202099.9101.5
Oct 202099.3100.4
Sep 202099.3100.1
Aug 202096.5100.1
Jul 2020100.0100.0

Every fall of 3% or more

From the peak to the lowest month after it, and how long prices took to get back.

PeakLowFallMonths fallingMonths to recover
July 2020August 2020−3.5%16
February 2021May 2021−8.6%37
January 2023March 2023−4.6%22
May 2023August 2023−7.9%36
May 2024June 2024−4.1%13
April 2026August 2026−5.0%4Not yet

Portugal against the EU since 2015

Eurostat's house price index for all dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, comparable across member states.

  • Portugal
  • EU
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugalEU
Q2 2026301.4168.6
Q1 2026291.0166.5
Q4 2025280.2164.6
Q3 2025269.4163.5
Q2 2025258.8161.0
Q1 2025247.1158.5
Q4 2024235.7156.2
Q3 2024228.9155.1
Q2 2024220.7152.7
Q1 2024212.5149.8
Q4 2023211.3148.9
Q3 2023208.5149.1
Q2 2023204.7148.2
Q1 2023198.6147.6
Q4 2022195.9148.7
Q3 2022193.8150.9
Q2 2022188.3149.6
Q1 2022182.6146.2
Q4 2021176.0143.2
Q3 2021171.3140.2
Q2 2021166.4136.0
Q1 2021161.7132.1
Q4 2020157.7129.8
Q3 2020153.6128.1
Q2 2020154.3126.3
Q1 2020151.7124.4
Q4 2019146.1122.7
Q3 2019143.7121.5
Q2 2019140.7119.8
Q1 2019137.1117.6
Q4 2018132.3116.8
Q3 2018129.7115.9
Q2 2018128.5114.2
Q1 2018125.6112.3
Q4 2017121.1111.2
Q3 2017119.6110.4
Q2 2017115.5108.8
Q1 2017111.9106.9
Q4 2016109.6106.1
Q3 2016108.3105.4
Q2 2016106.9103.8
Q1 2016103.7102.0
Q4 2015101.8101.1
Q3 2015100.7100.8
Q2 2015100.699.8
Q1 201596.998.3

Bank valuations go back to 2011, so they include the fall after the euro crisis; asking prices start in 2015. A fall counts once prices drop 3% below a peak, and ends when they are back at it.

Other reports for Almeirim

Next 12 months

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €1,710/m² and €2,024/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€1,867/m²
Chance of a rise
89%

Affordability

At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €156,960. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €596 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
25%
Payment, one income
50%

Buy or rent

Owning a 90 m² home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€629
Owning per month
€502

Asking against valuation

Sellers ask 1.7% less than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +6.8%.

Gap today
−1.7%
Change in a year
−8.6 pp

New homes

95.9% more homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
63
Per 1,000 residents
2.6

Foreign buyers

Figures for Lezíria do Tejo: Almeirim has no reliable figures of its own.

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 7.0% more per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
+7.0%

People and new homes

In 2025 the population grew by 217 while 52 homes were finished: 4.2 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
4.2
Population change, 2025
+217

Empty homes

18.2% of the 12,139 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
18.2%
Empty homes
2,215

Renovation

In 2025, 0% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
0%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
0.0

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

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