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Almada · report

Past price cycles in Almada

Bank valuations have fallen by 3% or more 2 times since 2011. The deepest began in May 2011.

Deepest fall
−25.5%
Recovery from the low
44 months

Prices in Almada and Portugal, indexed

Bank valuations, both set to 100 in January 2011.

  • Almada
  • Portugal
  • 100 = January 2011
Show the numbers
PeriodAlmadaPortugal
Sep 2026300.7259.7
Aug 2026299.4257.0
Jul 2026295.6255.4
Jun 2026290.7254.0
May 2026285.8251.8
Apr 2026288.6247.9
Mar 2026284.1245.3
Feb 2026281.3242.0
Jan 2026270.3240.0
Dec 2025267.4237.3
Nov 2025263.1234.9
Oct 2025258.7230.9
Sep 2025258.0227.5
Aug 2025252.4224.1
Jul 2025253.6221.8
Jun 2025247.8217.9
May 2025247.3215.1
Apr 2025242.4212.8
Mar 2025237.5210.6
Feb 2025229.1206.4
Jan 2025222.0202.3
Dec 2024219.5199.2
Nov 2024217.1198.4
Oct 2024217.4196.2
Sep 2024214.6193.3
Aug 2024211.6189.7
Jul 2024207.9186.8
Jun 2024205.5184.5
May 2024203.8183.6
Apr 2024201.2182.0
Mar 2024197.7180.2
Feb 2024194.5177.9
Jan 2024190.0176.7
Dec 2023191.6175.1
Nov 2023191.0174.5
Oct 2023196.1175.1
Sep 2023196.1175.7
Aug 2023195.8175.4
Jul 2023195.5173.9
Jun 2023194.3173.1
May 2023190.1172.2
Apr 2023191.4170.0
Mar 2023188.1169.1
Feb 2023191.6168.5
Jan 2023184.3169.3
Dec 2022181.1166.2
Nov 2022179.1165.2
Oct 2022178.3161.9
Sep 2022181.2162.9
Aug 2022180.8161.2
Jul 2022177.7161.6
Jun 2022175.9160.4
May 2022170.8157.4
Apr 2022170.2154.6
Mar 2022168.6151.8
Feb 2022165.2149.8
Jan 2022157.5147.3
Dec 2021154.8146.5
Nov 2021153.9145.0
Oct 2021158.1142.6
Sep 2021158.0140.9
Aug 2021157.8139.2
Jul 2021151.5139.2
Jun 2021151.2138.5
May 2021147.8138.2
Apr 2021147.0136.8
Mar 2021145.9135.3
Feb 2021146.3133.9
Jan 2021146.3133.4
Dec 2020143.8131.8
Nov 2020142.1130.4
Oct 2020140.0129.0
Sep 2020140.5128.6
Aug 2020142.2128.6
Jul 2020140.6128.5
Jun 2020141.5127.6
May 2020142.5127.0
Apr 2020142.1126.7
Mar 2020139.6126.6
Feb 2020137.2126.7
Jan 2020136.4125.8
Dec 2019137.1124.4
Nov 2019135.6122.7
Oct 2019134.6121.9
Sep 2019134.1121.6
Aug 2019132.7120.2
Jul 2019130.6119.0
Jun 2019126.1117.4
May 2019126.1116.6
Apr 2019122.5115.7
Mar 2019118.1114.7
Feb 2019117.4114.0
Jan 2019119.2112.1
Dec 2018119.0111.4
Nov 2018119.2110.4
Oct 2018116.9110.3
Sep 2018116.6109.4
Aug 2018116.3108.4
Jul 2018114.8107.3
Jun 2018113.8106.3
May 2018111.8105.9
Apr 2018110.6105.4
Mar 2018108.2104.9
Feb 2018105.0103.9
Jan 2018104.3102.9
Dec 2017103.0101.6
Nov 2017102.7101.4
Oct 2017101.1101.0
Sep 2017101.3100.5
Aug 201799.499.0
Jul 201799.098.2
Jun 201798.098.1
May 201798.997.7
Apr 201798.497.4
Mar 201798.296.8
Feb 201797.696.6
Jan 201796.395.9
Dec 201696.195.0
Nov 201696.294.2
Oct 201694.593.5
Sep 201693.093.0
Aug 201692.492.8
Jul 201692.091.9
Jun 201691.791.6
May 201690.491.2
Apr 201690.490.5
Mar 201689.889.9
Feb 201689.489.5
Jan 201684.789.5
Dec 201584.589.9
Nov 201585.989.3
Oct 201587.288.9
Sep 201586.488.6
Aug 201584.588.3
Jul 201584.788.5
Jun 201582.587.7
May 201581.687.6
Apr 201581.686.7
Mar 201582.086.2
Feb 201582.486.2
Jan 201580.486.2
Dec 201484.085.6
Nov 201484.085.6
Oct 201484.186.2
Sep 201480.688.0
Aug 201479.988.4
Jul 201479.687.0
Jun 201479.985.3
May 201477.184.2
Apr 201480.883.9
Mar 201480.984.3
Feb 201484.485.7
Jan 201482.786.7
Dec 201386.787.0
Nov 201386.686.9
Oct 201388.687.2
Sep 201386.987.0
Aug 201383.086.8
Jul 201387.286.5
Jun 201388.487.1
May 201387.286.4
Apr 201383.185.3
Mar 201378.184.6
Feb 201381.585.1
Jan 201383.386.5
Dec 201286.487.8
Nov 201290.988.3
Oct 201292.888.7
Sep 201291.289.4
Aug 201292.289.4
Jul 201289.389.7
Jun 201292.390.2
May 201287.891.2
Apr 201292.892.8
Mar 201292.292.5
Feb 201298.292.4
Jan 201297.692.2
Dec 201197.393.3
Nov 201197.694.5
Oct 201199.595.0
Sep 2011100.296.2
Aug 2011100.097.1
Jul 2011100.197.9
Jun 2011100.199.4
May 2011103.5101.4
Apr 2011103.3102.6
Mar 2011102.6102.4
Feb 2011100.6101.1
Jan 2011100.0100.0

Every fall of 3% or more

From the peak to the lowest month after it, and how long prices took to get back.

PeakLowFallMonths fallingMonths to recover
May 2011May 2014−25.5%3644
October 2023January 2024−3.1%32

Portugal against the EU since 2015

Eurostat's house price index for all dwellings, 2015 = 100. National figures, comparable across member states.

  • Portugal
  • EU
  • 2015 = 100
Show the numbers
PeriodPortugalEU
Q2 2026301.4168.6
Q1 2026291.0166.5
Q4 2025280.2164.6
Q3 2025269.4163.5
Q2 2025258.8161.0
Q1 2025247.1158.5
Q4 2024235.7156.2
Q3 2024228.9155.1
Q2 2024220.7152.7
Q1 2024212.5149.8
Q4 2023211.3148.9
Q3 2023208.5149.1
Q2 2023204.7148.2
Q1 2023198.6147.6
Q4 2022195.9148.7
Q3 2022193.8150.9
Q2 2022188.3149.6
Q1 2022182.6146.2
Q4 2021176.0143.2
Q3 2021171.3140.2
Q2 2021166.4136.0
Q1 2021161.7132.1
Q4 2020157.7129.8
Q3 2020153.6128.1
Q2 2020154.3126.3
Q1 2020151.7124.4
Q4 2019146.1122.7
Q3 2019143.7121.5
Q2 2019140.7119.8
Q1 2019137.1117.6
Q4 2018132.3116.8
Q3 2018129.7115.9
Q2 2018128.5114.2
Q1 2018125.6112.3
Q4 2017121.1111.2
Q3 2017119.6110.4
Q2 2017115.5108.8
Q1 2017111.9106.9
Q4 2016109.6106.1
Q3 2016108.3105.4
Q2 2016106.9103.8
Q1 2016103.7102.0
Q4 2015101.8101.1
Q3 2015100.7100.8
Q2 2015100.699.8
Q1 201596.998.3

Bank valuations go back to 2011, so they include the fall after the euro crisis; asking prices start in 2015. A fall counts once prices drop 3% below a peak, and ends when they are back at it.

Other reports for Almada

Asking prices have an 80% chance of landing between €3,519/m² and €4,418/m² by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€3,969/m²
Chance of a rise
55%

At the bank valuation, a 90 m² home costs €292,860. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €1,111 a month. Banco de Portugal caps it at 50% of a household's net income.

Payment, two incomes
43%
Payment, one income
86%

Owning a 90 m² home costs less each month than renting it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the median sale price. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€1,234
Owning per month
€1,069

Sellers ask 20.5% more than banks value homes at. A year ago the gap was +35.0%.

Gap today
+20.5%
Change in a year
−14.5 pp

37.9% fewer homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
171
Per 1,000 residents
0.8

Over the last 12 months, buyers domiciled abroad paid 9.3% more per m² than buyers living in Portugal.

Abroad against residents
+9.3%

In 2025 the population grew by 963 while 206 homes were finished: 4.7 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
4.7
Population change, 2025
+963

8.6% of the 101,521 homes counted in the 2021 census stood empty, whether for sale, to let or for other reasons.

Empty, 2021 census
8.6%
Empty homes
8,779

In 2025, 1% of the buildings finished were work on existing buildings: extensions, alterations and reconstructions.

Work on existing buildings, 2025
1%
Reconstructions per 100 new buildings
0.0

Public bodies signed €24.7M of housing works here in 2025, and €55.9M since 2012.

Signed in 2025
€24.7M
Per resident, 2025
€122

Data: INE, ECB and others · updated October 27, 2026

Asking prices and bank valuations are not sale prices. This is a description of public data, not financial advice.

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