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Netherlands · report

House prices in the Netherlands: the next 12 months

Sale prices have an 80% chance of landing between €483,170 and €564,960 by September 2027.

Expected, September 2027
€524,065
Chance of a rise
73%

Netherlands: five years of prices and the expected path

Average sale price per home, €, monthly, with the next 12 months' expected path

  • Netherlands
  • Expected path
  • 80% range
Show the numbers
PeriodNetherlands
Sep 2027 · Expected path€524,065 (€483,170–€564,960)
Aug 2027 · Expected path€522,448 (€483,530–€561,366)
Jul 2027 · Expected path€520,830 (€483,950–€557,711)
Jun 2027 · Expected path€519,213 (€484,441–€553,986)
May 2027 · Expected path€517,596 (€485,017–€550,175)
Apr 2027 · Expected path€515,979 (€485,697–€546,261)
Mar 2027 · Expected path€514,361 (€486,505–€542,218)
Feb 2027 · Expected path€512,744 (€487,480–€538,008)
Jan 2027 · Expected path€511,127 (€488,679–€533,575)
Dec 2026 · Expected path€509,510 (€490,198–€528,821)
Nov 2026 · Expected path€507,892 (€492,231–€523,554)
Oct 2026 · Expected path€506,275 (€495,277–€517,274)
Sep 2026€504,658
Aug 2026€503,523
Jul 2026€500,988
Jun 2026€496,235
May 2026€487,383
Apr 2026€486,101
Mar 2026€494,605
Feb 2026€487,768
Jan 2026€493,875
Dec 2025€480,051
Nov 2025€477,531
Oct 2025€498,996
Sep 2025€489,072
Aug 2025€486,190
Jul 2025€486,041
Jun 2025€474,234
May 2025€471,875
Apr 2025€472,054
Mar 2025€467,873
Feb 2025€467,363
Jan 2025€474,534
Dec 2024€457,467
Nov 2024€461,931
Oct 2024€467,355
Sep 2024€466,890
Aug 2024€466,207
Jul 2024€457,320
Jun 2024€441,112
May 2024€445,430
Apr 2024€435,984
Mar 2024€435,049
Feb 2024€427,279
Jan 2024€433,285
Dec 2023€422,372
Nov 2023€421,284
Oct 2023€424,521
Sep 2023€422,175
Aug 2023€416,595
Jul 2023€413,917
Jun 2023€412,943
May 2023€403,913
Apr 2023€401,374
Mar 2023€415,141
Feb 2023€410,189
Jan 2023€424,681
Dec 2022€401,436
Nov 2022€423,124
Oct 2022€428,079
Sep 2022€437,996
Aug 2022€446,263
Jul 2022€445,241
Jun 2022€428,932
May 2022€429,077
Apr 2022€429,020
Mar 2022€426,183
Feb 2022€419,361
Jan 2022€434,886
Dec 2021€396,848
Nov 2021€403,941
Oct 2021€408,987

What the model expects

The central estimate at each horizon, and the range prices land in 8 times out of 10.

HorizonExpected80% rangeChance of a riseChance of beating inflation
In 3 months (December 2026)€509,510€490,198 – €528,82163%53%
In 12 months (September 2027)€524,065€483,170 – €564,96073%55%

The outlook carries the region's own monthly price history forward: the recent trend and how far prices usually stray from it. It knows nothing about interest-rate decisions, new laws or local projects, so read it as a description of momentum, not a forecast to act on.

Other reports for the Netherlands

At the average sale price, a home costs €504,658. With 10% down and a 30-year mortgage, the payment is €2,153 a month. The Netherlands sets no single cap on the payment: each year the law fixes how much of their income a household may spend on the mortgage, by income and interest rate.

Payment, two incomes
25%
Payment, one income
51%

Renting the average home costs less each month than owning it. Owning counts interest, running costs and the return the deposit could earn, at the average sale price; rent is what private tenants pay on average, after housing benefit. Repaying the loan is saving, so it is left out.

Rent per month
€968
Owning per month
€2,020

40.4% more homes were licensed for construction in the last 12 months than in an average year of the past decade.

Licensed, 12 months
113,484
Per 1,000 residents
6.3

Sale prices have fallen by 3% or more 10 times since 1995. The deepest began in August 2008.

Deepest fall
−21.3%
Recovery from the low
48 months

In 2025 the population grew by 86,630 while 69,189 homes were finished: 1.3 new residents for every new home.

New residents per new home, 2025
1.3
Population change, 2025
+86,630

4.5% of the 8,344,955 homes registered on 1 January 2026 had nobody living in them.

Empty, 2026
4.5%
Empty homes
374,445

In 2024, 22% of the homes added came from existing buildings rather than new ones.

Homes from existing buildings, 2024
22%

Public bodies signed €286.6M of housing works here in 2025, and €2.9B since 2017.

Signed in 2025
€286.6M
Per resident, 2025
€16